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Archive for February, 2016

Yep, Form guru David ”Gator” Gately was on fire on a big G1 day Saturday:

 

WINNERS were his BET OF THE DAY – Azkadellia

His Sydney BET OF THE DAY – Ghisoni

PLUS:

- ASSIGN

- EXTREME CHOICE

- TURN ME LOOSE

- BOW CREEK

- SOLICIT

- WINX

 

All were Top-rated runners…

 

…add to that a stack of quinella and trifectas with these top selections….. Fenway and Mourinho, Tuscan Sling with Azkadellia, Dibayani with Winx and Flying Artie with Extreme Choice…. The list goes on !

 

Jump on board now… Same low cost as 2015 !

Produced by: http://www.ozracingform.com

SUMMARY OF LAST WEEK:

Racing was at CAULFIELD on Saturday on GOOD track with the Rail True. There was no mad pattern/ bias evident, some winners sat wide, the winners of races one, three, six were all nearer the inside rail. 


Run Of The Day:
With 42% of the vote, you went with BOW CREEK. The win was exceptional !! He blew the start then sat just off midfield then needed luck straightening, once he saw daylight, he exploded and was the very definition of ‘’won going away’’…. Watch him through the line, he is about 5L in front of them all past the post!

He ran 1-48.65 for the 1800m despite a moderate 49.54 1st-800m split and easily beat FENWAY (the other hard luck story from the Orr Stks) who was solid, and only 2nd-up herself, MOURINHO led (at said moderate tempo) and left the rail, he held third from AWESOME ROCK who ran super given he did a power of early work, the two behind these clearly made the Forgive File (see below) in OUR IVANHOWE and RISING ROMANCE, the latter ran 11.72 last 200m which was bettered only by the winner’s electric 11.45. Thought ALMOONQITH hit line nicely too (5th-fastest home). 

The Blue Diamond Stks was Race 7 and we saw two outstanding individual performances. EXTREME CHOICE sat just off a hot (34.06 1st-600m) speed, 4-wide no cover yet cruised to the lead and ran a sizzling 1-8.95, before we go on, let’s line that up with the mighty SEPOY from 2011, Sepoy shared the speed in his Diamond and they went 34.25 1st-600m so no walking was happening, he cleared out by 4.2L and ran 1-8.55, of course, he went on to win The Slipper. Back to this, winner was the only on-speed survivor and beat the third horse 6L. The runner-up was FLYING ARTIE who went back and was forced right off the track turning before balancing up and running home hard, he thrashed everything else, a very interesting stat here was the last 200m split, EXTREME CHOICE was 11.83 (remember, 4-wide up on fast speed) and FLYING ARTIE 11.84 (rushing home), so, yep, 1/100ths of a second quicker late, the winner…. An outstanding win/ 2yo !!! Of the others: ZAMZAM with blinkers on ran home well (home 12.10) into 3rd (first filly home) and POWER TRIP was back near the runner-up and ran home quite well without threat (12.19). STAR TURN and SWEET SHERRY were both very wide, and ran well also.

To Race 8 and the Oakleigh Plate and another excellent win, FLAMBERGE had 58kg and had to give them all weight, he sat very deep just off the hot speed (28.33 1st-500m) and surged top lead late holding off FELL SWOOP who did look a bit stiff given he had to change course behind the winner 200m out, still, take nothing away from the winner for the reasons outlined. The query on HEATHERLY was, well, could she led in 28.3 1st-500m and hold them off, the answer was NO, however, she ran a fantastic race but that next level of pressure got her very late (she led 28.8 when stressing them in G3 recently here). PITTSBURGH FLYER (ran on well/ nice return), RELDAS (home 4th-fastest last 200m/ 2nd-fastest last 400m I noted), THE QUARTERBACK (lost touch early/ hit line hard in race-fastest 22.47/ 11.53) and DOTHRAKI (wide/ kept coming) all went well. They ran a slick 1-2.52 for the 1100m. 

Speaking of slick, the other G1 was the Futurity Stks and did they scorch the turf early, HUCKLEBUCK led (out of control it seemed) in 46.66 1st-800m, to put that into perspective on the day, he would have been leading the high-class mares race (R9) a bit over 13L with 600m to run, he faded, but forgive! Winner TURN ME LOOSE was able to take a sit and add a new string to his bow, he settled well behind the frantic tempo and took over straightening, he was a sitting shot for the swoopers but kept running strongly to the wire and recorded 1-22.21 for the 1400m. STRATUM STAR followed him, loomed a bit, but was no match. SUAVITO had nice soft run inside winner and kept closing in strongly, REBEL DANE ran well here coming wide (no trail) before the bend, his 12.08 last 200m was bettered only by SUAVITO (12.04) and THE UNITED STATES (11.96) with the latter really finding the line after being tailed off early. Nice return him! TRUST IN A GUST went super here also, he ran a 10.67 1000-to-800m and was up on that 46.6 1st-800m, he held on well.

The Mare race was taken out by AZKADELLIA and it was all honours to her! Back and 3-wide with cover at times only she balanced up and ran over them all despite a modest 48.86 1st-800m and ran 1-23.22 overall. Her closing splits were brilliant, 22.56 and 11.39 shows her freakish closing speed and she beat a good one in TUSCAN SLING who ran the 1400m out strongly, and, gave the winner 3kg! MISS ROSE DE LAGO led, left the rail and was only nutted late with MY SISTER LIL running a good close-up 4th at $71 and added spice to the First-4 for those who follow our ‘sectional stars’. FELICIENNE was good late here for easier, she ran 11.46 home bettered only by winner. 

Better mention ZEDITAVE Stks (R2) given it looked a great race on paper. It was a 4-way go on the wire with SANTA ANA LANE getting the job done fresh despite a huge betting drift (certainly has improvement in him!) and beating BROCKHOFF who did charge late (race-fastest 11.6 home), BASSETT sat up handy on 35.01 1st-600m and was bloused late and ODYSSEY MOON sat just off the pace 3-wide no cover and ave his all. Of the others, PURITAN ran home 22.64 (fastest) and 11.69 (2nd-fastest) and looks in need of 1400m now? MOGADOR disappointed. They ran 1-9.53 

Fillies in Race 3 saw CATCH A FIRE dominant, she sat up on 48.77 1st-800m and cleared out. Outside of her, well, there was 1 Length between second and ninth fillies!! Wow. MOSSIN AROUND was 2nd and sound with every hope, PASADENA GIRL kept closing in a solid return, CANA led the winner, she was 4th and ALASKAN ROSE got lost early yet ran home 11.31 her last 200m, it was the fastest last 200m of the day. They ran 1-23.56 so time was comparable with the class older mares in R9, albeit, off a slightly quicker early split. 

THE FORGIVE FILE:
KOROIBETE (blew the start), BONFIRE (wide/ worked), POPOVICH (slow recovery), LET HER RIP (didn’t get the room! went well for mine), EGYPT (never got a crack at them!), PATCH ADAMS (lame), CELTIC TIGER (3-wide no cover), EXTAR CHOICE (amiss), CHARLEVOIX (good/ follow), OUR IVANHOWE (shuffle back then held-up key stage), RISING ROMANCE (blocked until 70m mark!!), FAWNER (back and wide), LIDARI (wide on-speed), TRUST IN A GUST (reasons outlined), SCISSOR KICK (had to be amiss?), MISS NYMERIA (lame), SAMARA DANCER (poor recovery), GRIANTE (nearly fell), ATMOSPHERICAL (slow recovery), WAWAIL (squeezed out late but jury out a little), and SAMARTESTED (slow out but jury out a lot !).



In Sydney it was RANDWICK and the track was GOOD, the rail was 6m, and the bias was to those on-speed near the inside rail, they ran fast times!

WINX was the star of the show again, she won the G1 Chipping Norton brilliantly and did it against the bias on the day, she just cruises into her races and was a mile too good running 1-33.92 for 1600m which broke the race record which has stood for 35 years. Runner-up DIBAYANI was terrific again, he fought when headed and has come back super. HAURAKI was slow out then got onto the back of Winx, he kept closing. PREFERMENT certainly did enough, he kept finding the line nearer the inside (faster) lanes. 

The 2yo races were interesting:

Boys: Won by GOOD STANDING (had good run) beating LIONHEARTED (co-led / beat 3rd clearly) and SOUCHEZ (also up on speed) and they ran 1-9.09 off 34.73 1st-600m, so, they were slower early than the girls yet ran around 3L faster overall.. Hmmm

Girls: SCARLET RAIN led in 34.69 1st-600m and recorded 1-9.52 holding off IN THE VANGUARD who took sit and kept trying, she beat 3rd clearly herself, that third filly was TALE OF CHOICE who also sat handy… At first look, I’m querying this race as a Slipper guide, big time!

Race 5 was won by GHISONI and she looks the real deal, led in 47.07 and ran a slick 1-21.35 1st-up at 1400m off a set-back. SINGLE GAZE sat second and tried hard but was outclassed. STAY WITH ME kept closing from wide with cover and she hit line sweetly with pattern against her, she settled better today too. Liked the return of HONESTA here in race of little change.

Race 6 was also over 1400m for older mares, this was won by SOLICIT and she took the course record with her, she broke 46-secs 1st-800m and kept running stopping clock at 1-20.34, the old record was 1-21.03 so she smashed it! ZANBAGH ran on hard from back/wide Vs bias in a top return and PEEPING kept closing with weight scale. ADORABEEL was good for easier, like the way SLIGHTLY SWEET hit the wire here too, very good her!

Liverpool Cup was Race 8 and another track record went, CHARLIE BOY sat behind speed, got the inside run and ran 1-15.08 (old record was 1-15.43). How huge was ROCK STURDY here, way back and held-up then charged home down middle where nothing won all day! Excellent return. GOOD PROJECT made a good return himself from off midfield and just missed the quinella. 

THE FORGIVE FILE:
MR STEAL (given no hope), SPRINGBOK FLYER (too much pressure), TELPERION (beaten by bias?), MILITARY MACHINE (wide), PALOMINO (well back and held-up!), SUGAR PARMA (wide), SMART AMELIA (lame), AMICUS (worked early), MAGIC HURRICANE (worked early), MONGOLIAN KHAN (respiratory issue), GENERALIFE (no luck !), BIG MONEY (near fell), FAMOUS SEAMUS (wide), SILVERBALL (bled), UNEQUIVOCAL (good Vs bias), EL SASSO (too wide), MADDHAL (badly hampered also). 
=========================================
- Gator
www.ozracingform.com

Produced by: http://www.ozracingform.com



SUMMARY OF LAST WEEK:

Racing was at FLEMINGTON on Saturday on GOOD track with rail back TRUE. There was no mad pattern/bias on circle races, however, the straight races were dominated by those who came to the outside rail/ division.

RUN OF THE DAY:
Your votes are through and 46% of you went with CHAUTAUQUA as the Run Of The Day. That finishing speed is just outstanding, it is reserved for only world-class racehorses and is just awesome to watch! He looked in serious trouble 200m or so from home then just went into overdrive and robbed them right on the line!

His last 200m split was a sizzling 11.26 and he recorded an overall time of 57.02, he grabbed TERRAVISTA who, not for the first time, quickened beautifully and looked the winner, he just has trouble sustaining that speed, of course, rider fumbling for the whip may not have helped, for mine though, he was at his top and peaked that last 100m (again!). JAPONISME led the outside division in 34.79 1st-600m, was collared by TERRAVISTA but surged again late and these three had 1.5L on EXOSPHERE on the line, however, he just never made it to the ‘’faster’’ race (outside), he also looked a bit lost solo up the middle, experienced and respected track walkers thought best ground was either on inside rail, or, past the middle, not UP the middle… Individual splits are interesting: TERRAVISTA 600-400-200 was 1.33/ 10.38 whilst CHAUTAUQUA was 10.3/ 10.49 – then, last 200m winner 11.26 and TERRAVISTA 11.58. Other key runner DELECTATION, well, he was run off his feet a little at the 1000m but kept responding, he ran well also.

To the two 3YO Races:

Vanity Stks (Fillies) was won by DON’T DOUBT MAMMA who sat back off the modest tempo (48.76 1st-800m) but had clear running and sailed by JAMEKA (sat 1-1/ sound return) and held off EGYPT who rushed home off her back running race-fastest 11.32 last 200m, yes, she was match-fit and had 55kg but the run was very good. PERFECT REFLECTION on the other hand never had full momentum until around 150m from home, she picked-up and hit the line (11.41) with her 58.5kg, many are potting her, not me!! SACRED EYE led and held on OK. ALASKAN ROSE is a B-grader. Time: 1-22.73

The boys in CS Hayes Stks ran 1-22.77 off a 48.67 1st-800m, the ran along early to the eye then leader’s put the brakes on. Worth noting though, there was very little difference between the two divisions in 1st-600m or 1st-800m splits, also, the differential of the splits 800m-to-400m: Fillies went 23.31 800m-to-400m whilst boys went 23.16, so, actually, a fraction QUICKER than the girls… Hmmm.

TIVACI was promoted as the winner after umpires decided PALENTINO caused enough interference 900m from home to warrant the small margin between them, umpires were obviously super-confident also they knew exactly how the race would have unfolded for that last 900m had their been no interference. No matter what your view is, TIVACI’s run was excellent, forced wide a with no cart into the race a long, long way from home, he loomed up outside of PALENTINO and was going the better 300m out but PALENTINO fought hard to be first over the line. TULSA went back last and sat just off the quinella, he was really charging but didn’t help himself by running onto their heels 150m from home, he ran 22.46/ 11.69 home Vs Palentino’s 22.59/ 11.64. LIZARD ISLAND was 1st-up whilst the others were 2nd-up and he hit line 22.62/ 11.67 in a nice return! These four had a little margin on SOVEREIGN NATION (sound 2nd-up/ others were stronger late as mentioned). Plenty of drama !!

Back to Race 2 and WEATHERLY impressed! He missed the kick again and was left exposed outside (faster division) a long way from home yet powered away and was hardly punished late, he ran 1-3.87 off an even 30.29 1st-500m split and beat debutante CONSCIOUS who was very new early in the race, she was back with the winner and rushed home (also on faster outside section) running 11.69 last 200m Vs WEATHERLY’s 11.62. Of the others: JACKSON sat back on slower inside race and ran home well, he won that side, and was third overall, BATTLE ORDER wasn’t far off him that side in fourth after having nice midfield run with cover and both CALL ME TESS and the reported second coming of Black Caviar, CLOCKWORK ORANGE, was quite good given shared speed inside well off that inside rail. 

ESTAMINET measured up well in Race 3, she was dominant and ran only .38 seconds off Chatuaqua’s time (57.4) for the 1000m (had 54kg). The 1st-600m split was 34.9 so only marginally slower than that of the G1 Lightning and not this race, they all came towards the inside lanes… She was backed as if unbeatable also. SCRATCHY LASS ran home well and is still on the up. AFLEET ESPRIT had the big weight, had a chequered run, but went over line nicely for 3rd in  pleasing return, despite, huge betting drift. She was 1/100ths second quicker home than ESTAMINET for the record. 

Race 9 was won by WE’VE GOT THIS and his rider made a split second decision early, ‘’let’s go to the outside’’ and it was a very smart call. The first four home here were all on that faster outside section, winner gave them a start and rushed by them recording 1-9.64 for 1200m off 35.89 1st-600m, his last 200m was a neat 11.56 and clearly race-fastest. ROUGH JUSTICE was back to his honest best out there, SWEET AS BRO made a pleasing return off long break and might be back! YESTERDAY’S SONS was with first and third 300m out but no match for them to the line. ONEROUS won the inside race and doubt lost any friends (drew gate 1) and JIMANDO made a solid return off his long break with 60kg. TANSY broke 12-secs his last 200m and can win an easier race for us soon.

THE FORGIVE FILE:
PINDAN PEARL (back/wide/ slow pace), PIN YOUR HOPES (should have finished closer/ shuffled back key stage), TUFF HOST (mucous detected), PERFECT REFLECTION (no luck key stage), BON AURUM (3-wide no cover but winner was wider), RIVER WILD (blew start/ ran well), READY FOR VICTORY (keen/ took off mid race), EXOSPHERE (a tactical disaster !!), ONEROUS (wrong wide), ZEBRINE (closest inside).


In SYDNEY racing was at ROSEHILL on GOOD track. The rail was 3m and the track played well, most avoided being hard on the inside rail however, the winner of race 9 was pretty close to it !!

RUN OF THE DAY:
Had to be PRESS STATEMENT here, he was classes above them in Hobartville Stks and ran some exceptional closing splits relative to the day, just love how strong he was through the wire also !

He won in 1-22.56 for the 1400m and recorded an 11.26 last 200m, then 5.687 last 100m, both were the fastest of any winner all day! LE ROMAIN followed him everywhere and ran on into second but was in a different class. MONTAIGNE went back, had good run through and was strong to the wire, in fact, his 11.24 last 200m was one of the day’s fastest final splits and 2/100ths quicker than PRESS STATEMENT. SPILL THE BEANS led in 48.78 1st-800m and held 4th from WOLF CRY (sat 2nd) and DEL CIELO (battled well) but they all seem A- and B+ 3yos compared to PRESS STATEMENT who is A+ !! I mean, he did toy with Melb 3yo’s in Guineas remember….

What a return and great to see FIRST SEAL join in and win R5, she ran 1-16.4 for the 1300m and was too classy despite, perhaps, he run ending late, she scooted home in near 33-flat her last 600m then went 22.08/ 11.34 beating TELEPATHIC (home 11.36) who was strong over the line, lovely return from her also, I’VE GOT THE LOOKS was close-up 3rd and very solid out to 1300m here. CATKINS, well, she was left by the winner 300m out then became crowded-up… Fair to say, jury is out a little on this mighty mare.

ARAB DAWN impressed in Race 8, yes it turned out a swoopers race but from co-last on rail he weaved through and was strong beating ALLERIC who raced tight at the vital stage, he is flying still. HASSELHOOF held third and he was clearly the best of those nearer the speed, he ran well. LIBRAN was back with the winner but also found some strife and perhaps should have finished touch closer. LOOPHOLE ran on well also. ALLERGIC ran 11.52 home, LIBRAN 11.58 and they were two quickest last 200m splits. Time: 1-56.3 for 1900m.

The two 2yo races:

STRINDBERG won Race 1 and ran 1-3.53 for 1100m off 29.65 1st-500m, the time was almost identical to that of seasoned older sprinters (Coolring/ Brook Road) in R9 and he nailed REDZEL (who led at that good clip).

ASTERN won R4 and ran 1-4.13 for 1100m however, he led in a much more controlled 30.51 1st-500m, so, if races were run together, Redzel would have been leading Astern .86 seconds (roughly 4L)….so, of course they were going to run slower time overall. DEFCON sat wide no cover and loomed, he was super, as was MOUNT PANORAMA who missed kick then tacked on and loomed to win himself, just peaked late… all three were excellent for mine.

THE FORGIVE FILE:
CAN BE BOSSY (injured), TIMELESS PRINCE (got lost), MOUNT PANORAMA (slow out no help!), MAN OF CHOICE (wide no cover), BOLD CIRCLE (little luck key stage), CAFE SOCIETY (no run key stage), ONEMOREZETA (wide) and ESGRIMIDOR (no peace!).
=============================================================================
- Gator
www.ozracingform.com

Produced by: http://www.ozracingform.com



SUMMARY OF LAST WEEK:

Racing was at CAULFIELD on Saturday on GOOD track with Rail True. There was no mad pattern/bias although most avoided the inside rail late in the day.

Run Of The Day:
With 46% of the vote you landed on HEATHERLY ahead of FLYING ARTIE (25%), and, it is hard to argue given she smashed a hit-class field in the Rubitobn Stks by 5.5L running a sizzling 1-2-21 doing it.

HEATHERLY led in 28.81 1st-500m and straighten-up bolting, then raced away… POLITENESS was back and in traffic just as Heatherly was racing away, once clear, she powered to the line in a terrific return (11.53 last 200m). Outside of these two, well, there was just .7L between third, JUST A BULLET (tracked leader/ no match at al but sound) and sixth, ECLAIR CHOICE (battled well/ was held late and fitter for this), between those was LAKE GENEVA (off midfield/ saved ground and fancy her run ended late too/ fitter) and KURO (midfield rail/ battled well to line). THE MONSTAR got lost today but did run home 11.55 last 200m.

The G1 Feature was the ORR Stks and SUAVITO returned a winner, she had the sweet run but was good enough to rap leader TURN ME LOOSE 70m out and hold off the unlucky LUCKY HUSSLER. Said runner-up Lucky Hussler only needed to be clear a few strides earlier to take the race to my eye. HUCKLEBUCK found cover off-midfield from the horror gate, hooked out and ran home well, his last 200m split was bettered by six others which backs-up what his rider said post-race that this run (2nd-up off long break) tops him off. TURN ME LOOSE held fourth, his run was very good, he worked early and set-up a strong 47.41 1st-800m from the standing start and just didn’t come back under his rider, he was only grabbed 70m out as mentioned. REBEL DANE was 5th and sound but lacking that killer punch. BOBAN’s last 100m was very nice (11.63 final split – 4th-fastest), HAPPY TRAILS (11.59 – 3rd-fastest) did more than enough, RISING ROMANCE (11.51 – race-fastest) hit wire sweetly from way back and AWESOME ROCK went nicely for a non-WFA race. They ran 1-22.64 for the G1.

To the Diamond Preludes:

Fillies first and SAMARA DANCER was well-backed and won very nicely, she showed a neat turn of speed from midfield and looks a serious Diamond player. CONCEALER was every bit as good to my eye, slow out and back last she hooked out widest then rattled home 22.54/ 11.64 (last 400/200m) these were quickest closing splits from any 2YO on the day. MISS NYMERIA was first home from those out of the Fillies Preview, she sat just off the winner and eased clear then finished off well (11.72 – winner ran home 11.76), she looks likely to be strong at 1200m too. Fourth was SELENIA who sat up on the speed and held on well, she was the best of the on-pace runners and ran very well given trifecta were 9th, 13th, 11th at the 600m. CALLIOPE didn’t quicken but kept closing and SWEET SHERRY ran home well but runner-up sailed by these two remember. They ran 1-3.11 off a strong 28.68 1st-500m

The Boys division was, amazingly, run 7/100ths of a second faster (1-3.04) off a 7/100ths second faster (28.61) 1st-500m so there was precious little difference between the two divisions from that perspective, worth noting though, Fillies do have 2kg weight advantage come the Diamond! Winner here was FLYING ARTIE and the win was excellent!! He sat off the speed, very wide with no cover mostly and raced keen yet still knuckled down and ran over STAR TURN who had sat up 2nd on the strong speed, and kicked, there was 2.3L back to third, his run was very, very good also, in fact, he was clearly the best on-pacer from BOTH divisions. CHINA DREAM was third and he too covered ground, he was with the winner top of straight but no match him, yet ran a great race. REVOLVING DOOR looks a nice 2yo, he drifted way back and ran to to line nicely, he has this nice flat action on him, he ran 11.92 last 200m which was bettered only by the winner’s 11.66. POWER TRIP should have finished a bit closer here too.

The Autumn Stks saw winning machine MAHUTA do it again, now 6 from 6 since blinkers went on, he led in an even 48.82 1st-800m but was asked to accelerate a long way from home and with 59kg, just lasted. He ran 600m-to-400m-to-200m splits of 11.17/ 11.25. Many were quicker that last 200m split but he had pinched the break, doubt he wanted it 1401m though! SAILING BY the filly was off his back and charged late (home 11.74) with SNOOPY an every chance but solid (close-up) 3rd. Hard to miss the run of TARZINO charging home down the outside in race-fastest 11.63… A lovely return it was from the Derby winner. They ran 1-23.49 for the 1400m. This race Vs G1 Orr Stks, well, Mahuta was around 8L slower early than Turn Me Loose and almost 5L slower overall. 

Race 9 saw TUSCAN SLING make it 6 wins from 11 starts and 2 from 2 at 1200m, she did it sitting 3-wide no cover but was helped by A) the fence being avoided late, and, B) the modest tempo (35.72 1st-600m), she hit the lead and was strong to the wire running over CHOOSE (who led) and holding off AZKADELLIA who made a terrific return given said modest tempo, she recorded a 22.12 last 400m, it was the fastest last 400m of the day. WAWAIL sat behind them and looked to have her chance. JESSY BELLE hit the line late (11.37 last 200m) and watch MY SISTER LIL when she comes back in class (home 11.32 was day’s fastest last 200m). They ran 1-9.75. The fillies in R2 ran 1-9.63 (won by RISQUE) but note, they went 33.99 1st-600m so would have been leading this field, and Choose, some 9-10L at the halfway point of the race… Wow!

FORGIVE FILE:
KOROIBETE (let him run!), IHTSAHYMN (wide/ took off 800m), ABBASSO (keen/ injured?), KAREEMIOG (respiratory issue?), MAKE HER OWN WHEY (wide), SAFARIANN (lame), EMPHATICALLY (blocked vital stage), SWORD OF LIGHT (wide on strong speed), KINETIC DESIGN (badly blocked), IT IS WRITTEN (wide), HUSSON EAGLE (amiss?), TRIED AND TIRED (thumps), FENWAY (never fully clear), BOW CREEK (flattened/ picked-up and hit line!), MOURINHO (kicked pre-race!), GOOD VALUE (got lost), TUDOR (didn’t run 1600m) and AMARELA (back/wide/ no guide).


In Sydney racing was at RANDWICK on GOOD track with Rail 3m. The pattern suited those away from the inside rail.

Race 1 for 2yo’s saw TELPERION well-backed off a lovely trial and ridden cold he sailed by his rivals and won going away despite running about a fair bit, there is real upside here, he ran 1-4.07 off 29.42 1st-500m and beat PRIZED ICON (sat handy/ every hope) and SPRIGHT (went back inside/ just missed second).

Race 3 was Light Fingers and PERIGNON motored her last 100m and score in 3-way go from KANGARILLA JOY (match fit/ every chance) and TEMPT ME NOT who sat up handy. Leader HARLEM RIVER set 35.61 1st-600m and held fourth beaten 1L. STAY WITH ME went back last and raced too fresh/ keen, she was 2L off winner on turn and was beaten 2.3L by her on the line. She can improve with that freshness edge off her. They ran 1-9.98, the older mares in Triscay Stks ran 1-9.64 off 35.77 1st-600m so fillies were quicker early yet slower overall. 

That Triscay Stks was won by SULTRY FEELING who sat handy and kicked in strongly to hold off PEEPING who loomed as the winner 300m out, the 5kg weight differential in favour of the winner was probably significant! SAVOUREUX really found the wire her last 100m and grabbed third, nice return! VERGERA led/ held 4th. Like date run of ADORABLE here off wide trip, she kept closing…

The Apollo Stks saw the return of WINX and it was class personified !! Sat off fast (46.91 1st-800m) speed and tracked up behind leader SOLICIT then went by her under a very light ride… Soft win! Great return. SOLICIT gave a huge sight and thrashed third, she was super given that slick early split and can win soon. HAURAKI pleased (followed winner) fresh and DIBAYANI ran very well given he was asked to make a run before the turn, wide, off the fast clip. Hmmm…. That ran 1-22.03 – that margin to 3rd was 2.8L

FORGIVE FILE:
VIENNA WALTZ (poor recovery), EVASION (lame), DREAM FOLK (set task), MORAL VICTORY (too much pressure), VITELLO (ditto/ wants easier though), MY FAVOURITE (badly held-up until race was gone), WILD N FAMOUS (not much room straight), BRUSTAR (wide) and WAR JET (blew start badly). 
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- Gator


Produced by: http://www.ozracingform.com



SUMMARY OF LAST WEEK:
Racing was at CAULFIELD on GOOD track with the rail out 9m. The track played quite well, although those away from the inside rail had the advantage as the day wore on. 


Run Of The Day:
The three nominations were: EXTREME CHOICE, HE OR SHE, PURITAN. With around 60% of the vote (twitter poll via @gatorgately) it was EXTREME CHOICE and wow, was his win spectacular visually then well and truly backed up by the clock !

This exciting 2yo worked early, he ran 34.67 1st-600m but recorded a sizzling 10.3 (800m-to-600m) yet raced away and won eased-up, his overall time of 57.09 was outstanding, in fact, in the last 8 years, only Crystal Lily has run a faster 1000m at 2yo, of course, she went on to win a Golden Slipper! Anyway, his time is absolute elite and the win was outstanding !

Let’s line this race up with seasoned, older, high-class sprinters over 1000m later in the day:

SHAKESPEAREAN LASS won Adams Stks in 56.91 (.18 faster than Extreme Choice) however, the leaders here recorded a 34.48 1st-600m (.21 faster early). The winner had the sweet run and had the drop on the two leaders but she was tough, especially given she had relative weights against her. Those leaders were DIAMOND OASIS and RUNSATI, the latter also had this weight scale against him and he held on well. TREVINDER was the ‘’weight horse’’ (met Runsati some 6.5kg better) and charged home but winner refused to lose. GRANE ran home in a slick 11.04 last 200m )race-fastest) from RELDAS (11.08) but the 1000m was too sharp for him. ROUGH JUSTICE was honest, note, there was just 2L over the first eight over the line here. 

The Manfred Stks (3yo) was the feature and PURITAN impressed, he came from off a modest tempo (35.84 1st-600m) and covered ground yet ran down GOLDEN SPIN (led/ every chance) and winner has plenty of upside (still learning the caper!). Third was READY FOR VICTORY who was building momentum when he raced tight, he then closed well, it was a good return. VOSTOCK was 4th (every chance/ sound) and TOP ME UP 5th (good from tail given slow tempo/ he ran 11.71 last 200m – only winner was quicker (11.68) for that closing split). SOVEREIGN NATION didn’t quicken like the winner but closed in late (home 11.78) and needs further. Plenty made the forgive file ! Overall time: 1-10.27

Back to the other 2yo race, Inglis Premier over 1200m, they went mad up front in this, a 34.4 1st-600m, so, these leaders would have been some 8L clear of Golden Spin with 600m to travel if races were run together. VALLIANO sat off the hot speed and came away to win well (first run as gelding) and beat CURVATURE who came from midfield and closed well at start two but he was no match winner. LESSYD came from the tail and rushed late, his 12.06 last 200m was race-fastest. HEY DOC kept closing too (home 12.51) and NASDEX made a good debut sitting off this mad speed and rolling back to the inside lanes. The race did not rate overly well given the hot speed, they ran 1-10.38. Converting this race to the Extreme Choice race, well, there is no comparison, Extreme Choice race was around ‘’8L better’’ !!

DAN ZEPHYR is flying and won Race 6 sitting up on a slo-o-ow 50.18 1st-800m and kicking in, he held off a good one, a G1 competitive HE OR SHE and this guy was excellent, he ran home 21.76 / 11.02 with his big weight and they were the quickest closing splits all day. GENERAL GROOVE was solid. UNDERESTIMATION loomed to win but didn’t quite finish it off today. They ran 1-24.19

THE FORGIVE FILE:
TUFF HOST (slow recovery), RING DA BELLE (tardy/ held up but, yawn!), ONE INCH PUNCH (no peace), ROSE OF TEXAS (attacked lead early/ had no hope), MANDEE (ran her race before the start!), DALRADIAN (attacked hot speed/ way too keen), GRETNA (had no peace on hot pace), SEGOVIA (wide), HELL OF AN EFFORT (amiss?), FUSE (back and wide), BERISHA (pace wasn’t there), MIGHTY LIKE (tempo against/ found traffic), WELL SPRUNG (amiss?), PALENTINO (totally luckless!! Had bit to give too), TULSA (3-wide no cover), BON AURUM (no luck), PATCH ADAMS (back and wide), GOLD SYMPHONY (mucous), BOUNDARY (held-up until race was gone) and SECRET TOY BIZNESS (cut out then closed under no riding, hmmm).



In Sydney it was RANDWICK and track went from SOFT-6 to SOFT-5. The pattern was suiting those well off that inside rail.

The last three winners on the day were all impressive:

SPILL THE BEANS won Eskimo Prince sitting on 34.8 1st-600m speed and raced clear off the good trial form and ran 1-10.67 so went quicker than G1 winner AMICUS earlier in the day (improving track/ .35 faster 1st-600m) and beat LE ROMAIN (midfield/ to best ground/ closed well) and COUNTERATTACK (too close inside/ 58.5kg/ ran well !!). SHARDS ran very well here also from back and was forced very wide turning. 

HEAVENS ABOVE has been promising to win like this all prep and (finally!!) well ridden she streeted them, she raced away from ROARING TO WIN who was coming off an impressive victory and ALPHA BEAT was 3rd, he too was good given he was used up to improve before the home turn. BALMAIN BOY wasting late in 4th. Time: 1-23.78 off 47.48 1st-800m.

Race 9 and MONTAIGNE was ‘’off the map’’ and a mile too good, from off midfield he joined in strongly and blitzed them! BELLEVILLE FLYER travelled up like the winner but copped windburn! EGYPTIAN RULER was near the winner 500m out, sound but no match. CLASSIC UNIFORM and FABRIZIO were solid on-pace in a better race to swoop. Time: 1-37.5 for mile.

Back to that G1 winner AMICUS (out 35.2 – overall 1-11.0) and she defied a betting drift, she tracked the lead and got up inside the leader PRESS REPORT and nailed her. I’VE GOT THE LOOKS just missed them both, she just needed a little more speed on I fancy. QUEEN OF KARIBA was good late off that modest tempo. 

THE FORGIVE FILE:
HERNE’S OAK (respiratory issues), KHALID (lame), SLOW PACE (beaten by tempo), INVIENNA (respiratory issues), CHAMPIONMET (injured), DUBLIN LASS (pulled-up coughing), WONDERFUL STORY (heart irreg.), HASSELHOOF (rider blamed ‘’shifty track’’ so???), COUNTERATTACK (good in wrong spot), TORGENSEN (worst ground), PRIDE OF DUBAI (injured !!), SELITA (spell time) and PIAMIMI (got lost!).
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- Gator

Produced by: http://www.ozracingform.com




SUMMARY OF LAST WEEK:
Racing on Saturday was at FLEMINGTON on a Good track, the rail was out 9m and most avoided the inside lanes, in straight races the winner’s were well off the inside. 


Run Of The Day:
The three nominated for voting on twitter (@gatorgately) were: SUPIDO, THE QUARTERBACK and DAN ZEPHYR, and, thanks to your votes, this week’s winner was SUPIDO (47% of votes). 

NOTE: I will post/ nominate on twitter, each Monday, three or four horses for Run Of The Day honours, the ‘’winner’’ will be the one who, simply, has the most votes!

SUPIDO was most impressive and classes above his rivals in Race 1 on Saturday, he wasn’t brilliantly away then was forced to the slower inside rail and had to sustain a long run given he had nothing to drag him into the race, yet, he raced away and was hardly punished doing it !

He ran a 1-3.98 for the 1100m off a strong 29.37 1st-500m, the tempo was set by JUST A BULLET and he would have been leading the other 1100m race (led/ won by Heatherly) by some 3.5L with 600m to travel. Runner-up GOOD OFFA missed the kick and ran home hard out wide (in best ground) in a nice return, this horse has beaten Durendal home and was huge odds. He ran 11.93 home (Supido 11.94). CHIAVARI was best backed at odds and an honest third. Liked the run of IT’S A SHAME BILLY too, he hit the line 12.22 despite heading to that (slower) inside section.

Speaking of HEATHERLY, well, she was terrific leading all the way from the inside alley after navigating a path up the middle, she put a gap on them 300m out and just lasted from ALMIGHTY GIRL who really launched late, it was only her second race start, these two had 2.2L on the rest of the field. We thought it was a deep race going in, the times back this up, winner ran 1-3.68 so .3 faster than the smart Supido despite a significantly slower 1st-500m split of 29.97. Other good runs: MAKE HER OWN WHEY (weaved through/ closed well), LABDIEN (kept closing/ ran 11.87 last 200m/ suited further!) and ALASKAN ROSE (got left when they sprinted but ran a race-fastest 11.85 home). LOVE DAYS disappointed as did MAGNA ROSSA. 

To Race 6 and KING’S COMMAND is flying this prep, he tracked a strong 47.5 1st-800m speed and found best ground and won well beating DUIBIO who rushed home despite his 59.5kg and HARBOUR GREY who was one of the better runs all day given he blew the start then ran home 11.9 last 200m off that strong speed. MIHANY (not much peace up front) held on well for 4th and watch POLAR VORTEX for further/ easier, only DUIBIO was quicker that last 200m split. Overall time was a slick 1-22.32

The other 1400m race was won by DAN ZEPHYR despite his 3-wide trip! He ran 1-22.49 off a solid 47.92 1st-800m so, the race looked thin, but rated quite well. THE NEW BOY led and slipped away but found one better. AGENT kept closing but was no match for the quinella. DIG A PONY looks ready to win over further, she took winding up but that last 100m was nice! AULD BURNS ran enormous fresh the old boy off that wide run. 

The Kensington Stks was the feature and 3YO HEADWATER is back! He tracked the speed up the middle and wore down BULLPIT who gave a great sight again, they ran fast time (56.9) too. THE QUARTERBACK carted 60kg and ran home hard but his run had ended near the wire (still ran race-fastest 11.46 home) and he will be fitter. THE MONSTAR is underrated, he was baulked key stage and right on their heels on the line. HARD STRIDE looks back, he ran home well and was backed. YESTERDAY’S SONGS found the 1000m too sharp, simple as that, he was good late (11.55 last 200m) in a nice return. 

The last was won by PEMBERLEY and he has a future. Sat off them midfield, needed a run in straight but once clear was strong to the wire beating SIEGESTOR who ran home past middle and is going super. CAPODECINA ended up closest to the inside and he ran very well also (only winner strong last 200m) at big odds. The race became thin pretty quickly after these I fancy… Time: 1-49.36 for 1800m.

THE FORGIVE FILE:
READY SUNSHINE (poor recovery), JUST A BULLET (went too hard), MISTER MILTON (lame/ yawn!), ZUPACHARGED (1200m too sharp now), TIDY PROPHET (worst ground), BASS STRAIGHT (tempo against), STAR ROLLING (stayed inside rail??), SKY DAZZLE (cardiac arrhythmia), PATTERN (green/ rolled to slower inside lanes), AYRES ROCK (wide), WILD RAIN (had a busy prep!), BEL SEAL (too close), BEST SUGGESTION (slow recovery), AZURITE (wide/ worked early and ridden upside/ down).


SYDNEY was ROSEHILL and track went from HEAVY-8 to SOFT-7 then the last two races were abandoned !! The pattern suited those away from the inside rail here too.

Keen to compare the two 2YO feature races:

Race 3 (Boys) was won by TESSERA who led in 30.46 1st-500m) then left the rail, he was grabbed by DEFCON 200m out but fought back and was quite strong on the line. MOUNT PANORAMA sat wide no cover and was left a bit, then came again late, he went well. STAR OF MONSOON wasn’t and sound but no match for a few.  They ran 1-6.08

Race 4 (Girls) was won by HONESTY PREVAILS and she ran 1-5.73 but we have to note A) the 1st-500m split was 30.01 (.45 faster than boys) and the track was on the improve! Winner impressed though, weaving through and bursting clear, SMART AMELIA sat off speed with cover and closed well and CHIPANDA sat wide no cover and loomed to win, she was very good also, they all trialled exceptionally well prior. NONPAREIL copped a baulk and made a sound debut, FOXILY ran home well wide, SPRIGHT ran home well on slower inside section, and, managed a race-fastest 12.4 in that slower section, she went very well!


THE FORGIVE FILE:
ZEE ZEELY (cardiac arrhythmia), TASTE OF MONEY (wide), GUARD OF HONOUR (poor recovery), AGHNA (rider said too wet), VIXEN LASS (no peace), KENTUCKY MISS (no peace), MAGICAL STANCE (wide/ good), FRANK WHO (too wet).
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BET OF THE DAY (SANDOWN WEDNESDAY):
Race 5 No.7 - COMIC MISS 



- Gator
www.ozracingform.com

WINNERS !!!

Author: Gator

In the first seven races at FLEMINGTON on Saturday, our form guru David ”Gator” Gately had the winner in his top-4 selections in six of them, including big value winners KING’S COMMAND and HEADWATER (some agencies went up $10), he declared HEATHERLY his top-rater but warned value runner-up ALMIGHTY GIRL was excellent winning her maiden and a danger, he declared SUPIDO plus Rosehill winner START WONDERING. Get on board for Summer/ Autumn NOW !!