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Archive for February, 2015

NOTE: G1 subscribers, we will have ratings for all eight races this Wednesday at Sandown so keep an eye on the in-box.
SUMMARY OF LAST WEEK:
Racing was at FLEMINGTON on Saturday with Rail TRUE. Track was rated GOOD. The inside lanes were avoided by most, in straight races, winner’s were well off that inside section.
Run Of The Day:
A couple of lovely return runs from WANDJINA and AKAVOROUN saw them on the podium this week but hard to go against the mighty LANKAN RUPEE who just blitzed two exceptional young gallopers in the G1 Lightning Stks and ran some amazing splits doing it…
His overall time was 56.29 off a fast 33.34 1st-600m, despite the hot speed he was still able to reel off these 3 x last 200m splits: 10.4/ 10.35/ 11.11 (so 31.88 last 600m) and yeah, gave DEEP FIELD windburn, and left BRAZEN BEAU standing! No knock on BRAZEN BEAU here, he appears better suited further than 1000m yet still got by DEEP FIELD and ran 56.68 himself. WATERMANS BAY was just off the winner mid race but he too was left behind, worth noting, his last 400m split of 21.82 was identical to that of BRAZEN BEAU, his last 200m, was 11.24, bettered only by LANKAN RUPEE…
Race 6 was a highlight race, the CS Hayes Stks and WANDJINA did a terrific job, he led in 48.62 (even tempo) but seemed to race keen, he left the rail and was challenged by two who had softer runs than him in behind, yet fought them off, these two (placegetters) were DISPOSITION (got up inside winner and looked home) and STRATUM STAR (had great run/ just could not reach them). MERION kept finding the line (4th) and CHIVALRY had race-fastest last 400m off the even speed and went well, it is worth noting, the winner (leader) actually recorded the fastest closing 200m split so, yeah, he was as strong as anything to the line! Overall time: 1-22.27
Race 8 was the other sprint feature and HARD STRIDE led up the middle and kept going far too well for them, he certainly didn’t go mad (35.3 1st-600m – So Sweet Amily in race 4 would have been leading him 4-5L midrace) yet ran good overall time (1-9.14). MAGNUS REIGN continued his honest form back towards inside lanes and MANDLA off the back of a top trial was a sound fresh 3rd after racing handy. Loved the return of AKAVOROUN, he was hard at it 500m out (1200m too sharp) yet was strong through and over the line (home 11.94), DIG A PONY closed well late (11.94) and MR CHARD had race-fastest last 200m, 11.86 back nearer inside… It was a race of little change this one so merit is added to those who did make ground!
The Vanity was Race 3 and SWEET AND SPEEDY stormed over Oaks winner SET SQUARE, it was a lovely ride, he just tracked that good filly into the straight and had the last crack. Worth noting the swoopers ran 1-2 here, doubt we will be sacking WAWAIL off this effort, she did not have much peace up front yet kicked strongly before being swamped late, the other on-pace runners dropped off. FENWAY (sound return) was 4th. They ran 1-24.13
Smart win in smart time CHLOE IN PARIS (race 4), factor in their 1st-600m split of 34.51 Vs the 33.34 of the G1 Lightning (over 7L slower 1st-600m) and her overall time of 56.87 is exceptional. RUNWAY STAR rushed home again, she again had some of the better closing splits all day (11.22 last 200m). SWEET EMILY led and held 3rd, just, from ANTARCTIC MISSILE (sound – better let run ???) with DAY AFTER TOMORROW ok of readier. SECRET TOY BIZNESS was outspend but late splits were bettered only by RUNWAY STAR so…. She did more than enough.
THE FORGIVE FILE:
JAMEKA (just a horrid steer!), MOSSBEAT (held-up almost entire straight), ANFITRIONA (amiss), SALUTER (way too keen), LAOHU (no peace), LUCKY LIBERTY (buck-jumped!), HAURAKI (back./wide), HIGH DESIGN (tempo against/ had best late split of race), IT’S ONE (wide) and BERRIMILLA (back and wide Vs tempo).
In SYDNEY it was ROSEHILL and Track was rated GOOD, however, most riders stated it was closer to the SOFT range, there was no mad pattern, winners led and swooped today.
Run Of The Day:
Both HEADWATER and SAN DIEGO won differently, and by different margins, but both were excellent, leant to WASHINGTON HEIGHTS though for major end of the prize, he was not flash away and was still way back 500m out, factor in the quinella were sitting first, second and ran 29.64 1st-500m, he did a great job to power home late and only just missed the two leaders!
These three had a little break on 4th, winner ran 1-3.78. WASHINGTON HEIGHTS’ last 200m split of 11.56 was equal fastest all day, with gun mare Catkins.
What a race the Hobartville Stks looked, and it did not disappoint, the first four crossed the line with just .4L separating them, HALLOWED CROWN had nice run then was pocketed, he went inside the leader and simply did the better his last 30m or so; SWEYNESSE had nice trail into it, he hooked out 300m from home, drove, just missed; KERMADEC was terrific, he took some winding up but really stormed late and had race-fastest 11.74 last 200m, and, SHOOTING TO WIN who was bolting as they straightened, fancy his run just ended late!? SCISSOR KICK lost no friends, he was sound and was trightened-up late. Nice work through the line here from SWORN TO SECRECY, he ran 8th but his last 200m split was in fact equal-faetst with KERMADEC, home 11.74. PREFERMENT got warm once race was over, he had a 12.06 last 200m.

HEADWATER won what looked a deep Silver Slipper, he led in 29.9 1st-500m and was quite dominant! Overall time was not great, 1-4.38, but the win looked good and the opposition had plenty of depth to their form. VOILIER had old run and was a sound 2nd here, MISHANI HONCHO was a clear last and ridden along 600m out then strong late, he ran by OTTOMAN for the third prize. A few bubbles burst here!

What a ripper CATKINS is, sat off them, had clear air and was too good again, she recorded equal-fastest last 200m split of the day. PLUCKY BELLE weaved through and ran well, she was much better today! AVOID LIGHTNING loomed to win, fancy her run ended 100m out, she will be fitter. MARDI led and was honest, but no match for theses better mares up a notch in grade.
THE FORGIVE FILE:
KRISTY LEE (action?), ORUJO (wide), TALES OF GRIMM (start no help), NOTHING LIKE LUCA (very wide), PACEMAN (amiss?), DELECTATION (3-wide pulling/ no cover), GRAND MARSHALL (good late splits in race of little change), and LAIDBACK LARRY (covered ground).
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This week it was a $1500+ quaddie (tipped in ”Gator’s” top-rated runners) at Flemington with strong cases made for value winners WANDJINA and HARD STRIDE…. The last leg was won by his Best Each-Way Bet Of The Day in WINSTON DRIVE and of course, LANKAN RUPEE kicked off the quad with his brilliant win!

 

His Best Roughie Of The Day very nearly won again, KERMADEC charged home to place and was big odds Thursday AM when the G1 email was sent.

 

Get on board at Ozracingform.com for just $8+ a week !

SUMMARY OF LAST WEEK:

Racing was at CAULFIELD on Saturday on the ‘new’ track, it was raters Soft-5 early but quickly upgraded to Good-4 then Good-3. Track played quite well, it was certainly no disadvantage being on-speed, in fact, only two winners came from further back than 5th at the 600m mark, they were SMOKIN’ JOEY and CHATAUQUA.

Run OF The Day: Stack of good runs so tough job today but runner-up prize(s) go to 2yo’s FONTITON and PRIDE OF DUBAI however, going with CHAUTAUQUA who won narrowly, but very well fresh-up here in sizzling time (1-2.39) and ran home his three last 200m splits in 10.96/ 11.49/ 11.19 and his last 200m sectional was the fastest all day.

The quinella here ran away from third, runner-up FLAMBERGE was terrific on-speed on strong 28.6 1st-500m and made the winner really dig to beat him, 3rd was ATMOSPHERICAL (keen early/ good return) some 3.3L away, just ahead of MISSY LONGSTOCKING (good for easier) and RICHIE’S VIBE hit the line ok (better effort !).

The G1 was the Orr Stks and DISSIDENT was dominant! He had the right run but just love the way he winds into his work and becomes so strong sustaining his closing speed, he beat ENTIRELY PLATINUM who led at a slo-o-ow 49.71 1st-800m, to put that early split into perspective, 3yo San Nicasio who won the race prior (over same trip) led in 48.96 so Entirely Platinum would have been some 3.5L behind him with 600m to travel. Anyway, he battled well to keep second from MOURINHO (good again but had same task as winner). JAVA loomed a bit but didn’t quite finish off, he just held 4th from SPILLWAY he did not quicken when race went on but over the line was good. HAPPY TRAILS covered ground and stuck on super, he ran an 11.28 last 200m (winner was 11.23), did like his return! REAL LOVE made the ‘forgive file’ from back/wide Vs tempo, note, his 11.28 last 200m split, just 5/100ths off that of the winner. They ran 1-23.38 for 1400m.

Speaking of SAN NICASIO, he won Autumn Stks, as mentioned, leading in 48.96, overall time 1-23.66. He was well-rated. Runner-up ZEBULON sat up second and gave his all, good return him first run as a gelding. FIREHOUSE ROCK was a sound 3rd and is probably looking for mile now. PROFIT SHARE is a goose, but very talented. AFFIRMATION was the best of those from the back here, forced wide he reeled off an 11.24 last 200m (3rd-fastest all day) in the on-pace dominated race and can win soon.

To the 2yo’s:

Fillies: FONTITON sits off a mad speed (28.22 1st-500m, or, near 3L quicker than Rubiton Stks field) came to the outside and won very well, she stopped the clock at 1-2.83 so was just 1.1-secs off a course record, and she is a 2yo. Obviously the hot speed set by HEATHERLY set up the fast time. MISS GIDGET did well chasing that speed, she held a clear second from FLAMBOYANT KLASS (sound/ no match 1-2), AIR APPARENT was one of the better closers, her 22.94 last 400m was race-fastest, QUEEN OF WANDS 9hit line late – 11.85 last 200m – 3rd-fastest of race) from HELL OR HIGHWATER (11.73 last 200m – race-fastest). Winner ran home 22.97/ 11.87.

Boys: OF THE BRAVE was equal leader between line of three so hardly had softest of runs yet gave a huge kick and just lasted from PRIDE OF DUBAI who was excellent, he is still very new, he looked to be on his wrong leg then changed stride and flew, these two got away some 2.7L to 3rd-horse SAMPEAH who also made up very good ground late, note, PRIDE OF DUBAI ran 11.62 last 200m, SAMPEAH 11.68. Others of note: CALL ME ANYTHING (good late – 11.97) and GREDINGTON (showed ability! Home 11.98 with mixed luck). The boys ran slower overall time, 1-3.66 however that early split 28.91 1st-500m was over 4L slower early, overall time near 5L slower than fillies division.

Back to Race 2 and SABATINI made a top return, she was able to sit just off them given moderate early tempo (35.77 1st-600m) and was bolting on turn, when the split came she burst through and rolled fave ROYAL SNITZEL who kicked-up inside leader FONTEIN RUBY, it’s never a great spot to be (inside leader given you have to work most of the race), anyway, she kicked, but had no answer winner who will be fitter too. FONTEIN RUBY gave her all, just missed second, these three had decent gap on 4th AFLEET ESPRIT who was, OK. Time: 1-9.59. Note: Fillies race here ‘rated’ about as well as older mares in the last, TYCOON TARA won the last in 1-9.48 off a slightly quicker 35,5 1st-600m.

THE FORGIVE FILE: THINKING OF YOU (too close?), SECRET AGENDA (injured), ANTELUCAN (bad check early), PURSUITS (ran in in limited room), GREDINGTON (mixed luck!), EXTRA CHOICE (limited luck/ has ability too), BLACK VANQUISH (needed more room), BANTAM (wide on-speed), DEMONSTARTE (baulked in straight/ faded), CHESTER ROAD (missed run 200m/ did hit line!), AKZAR (good lay back to 1600m), ELOPING (didn’t pan out early), PROFIT SHARE (goose/ brings it on himself), REAL LOVE (tempo against), PETROLOGY (ditto), BAGMAN (ditto) and SPIRITS DANCE (back and wide).

In Sydney it was RANDWICK and track was rated GOOD. Rail was TRUE. Pattern was clear, quickly, the inside lanes were NOT the place too be… Forgive anything that ran on that inside section!

Run Of The Day: Lovely return from DESTINY’S KISS and thought NINTH LEGION was terrific but, the winner this week, and clearly, was CONTRIBUTER. Breathtaking return win given 1400m is not his go, he just exploded when asked and ran a sub-11 second split 400m-to-200m (10.96) then sustained 11.3 last 200m (still quickest of race) and could win anything this prep, his trials prior were as good as anything in the country!

Runner-up NINTH LEGION was super here given he had to work to lead on a better track for run-ons and ran a sub-47 1st-800m (46.99 to be precise), great job to keep second. WEARY took sit and dashed when asked, just found winner too old. LUCIA VALENTINA (home 22.36/ 11.48) weaving between and SILENT ACHIEVER (22.4/ 11.40) down outside (best ground) were good fresh. HE’S YOUR MAN had no answer winner but pleased fresh himself. BOBAN, well, he was better…. They ran 1-22.09 for 1400m here.

Race 5 for 3yo Fillies looked a cracker on paper but bookies took the dose here, winner was ADRIFT who sat off pace, outside (best going) and responded very well when asked, she held off FIRST SEAL who just raced tight at a vital stage, she ran home hard, winner was holding her late though. No knock! SLIGHTLY SWEET did not quicken like runner-up but was strong late, her 11.50 last 200m was race-fastest, PEGGY JEAN (4th) recorded an 11.54 weaving between runners, FIRST SEAL was home 11.62 for the record. The first four here were all off-speed runners. ONEMOREZETA best of those on-pace but she was too keen/fresh early. Time: 1-9.48 off 34.46 1st-600m

Race 3 for 2yo’s saw HAPTIC lead at a strong 28.3 1st-500m pace, he left rail and kept going too well for a wall of them: FURNACES (sound), WOLF CRY (good late – 12.4 last 200m race-fastest split), GIULIETTA (never stopped trying), SEBRING SUN (ridden back/ went to line nicely/ home 12.44)… There was just 1.1L over the first five here. Time was 1-3.7 for 1100m.

HEART TESTA back in trip was able to win Race 4 sitting deep (best ground) in another busy finish, DRIEFONTEIN was beaten by her barrier when forced to race on inside section, thought she did an amazing job to run second! TERRITORY loomed/solid/3rd… Great return from DESTINY’S KISS who really charged and got very close! Him 11.8 last 200m was fastest of the race.
THE FORGIVE FILE: CHARMED HARMONY (cardiac arrhythmia), FIELD MARSHALL (worst ground), GEOREY AEROPLANE (not wide enough), FUERZA (poor recovery), KORIOBETE (went mad !), BULL POINT (ran out of room late/ fitter), HOT SNITZEL (worst ground), WINX (worst ground), MOSSFUN (poor recovery), MAHARA (good return/ should have finished closer), CHINTZ (pattern against) and BLACK REVOLVER (ran well VS race pattern).

That’s what ”our man” David ‘Gator’ Gately does, and this week, was no different…

 

Yep, had had big priced winner SAN NICASIO as his ‘top-rated runner’, add to that, his second pick Zebulon, ran second, the exacta was 160/1.

 

It did not end there:

- TELEPATHIC (tipped at $8 Thursday AM) wins in Sydney.

- HAPTIC (tipped to beat odds-on fave Furnaces wins at $7.9)

- OF THE BRAVE (top-rated) beats PRIDE OF DUBAI (2nd-top-rated) at Caulfield

- CHATAUQUA (top-rated), MY SABEEL (places at big odds), THUMP (wins at huge odds – G1 subscribers were told ”she might be back” off great trial form).

 

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NOTE:
* G1 subscribers – Top-Rated Runners for EVERY race for MORNINGTON CUP DAY Wednesday will be emailed tomorrow so keep an eye on that in-box.
SUMMARY OF LAST WEEK:
Racing was at SANDOWN (Hillside) on Saturday, on GOOD track with Rail 5m. All winners bar RUNWAY STAR were in the first five at the 800m mark, all winners bar CHILE EXPRESS were off that inside section.
RUN OF THE DAY:
Runner-up prizes this week go to SINGLE DAYS and JAMEKA but giving the nod to RUNWAY STAR who was having her first run for P.Moody, sat back then raced past match-fit and flying ANTARCTIC MISSILE and ”won running away’’ which just love seeing! Add to that her splits home 21.7 and 11.16 were amongst the fastest all day and, as mentioned, she was the only winner further back than 5th (mid race) all day!
Runner-up ANTARCTIC MISSILE lost no admirers, she raced to the lead despite wobbling a bit turning, just had no answer is all. SINGLE DAYS charged late in 11.24 (21.75 last 400m was 4/100ths slower than winner’s), GRANE was sound in 4th but had same task as the winner, good for easier though! O’MALLEY the disappointment, maybe racing tight between horses was against. They ran 56.27 for 1000m off a 34.28 1st-600m.
Lining those older sprinters up with 2yo’s (given all three races were run over 1000m) is easy, let’s start with the Inglis Race (R5) won impressively by STOKER who was backed with blinkers added, he had the good run but did win well and ran just 1/100ths second slower than Runway Star at 56.28, what makes that more impressive is the fact their race was run at an identical 1st-600m split of 34.28. MANHATTAN BLUES did not quicken like winner but was strong late and recorded an 11.17 last 200m compared with winner’s 11.35, he too had blinkers first time. JAMEKA drifted way back and really found the wire on tough day to do same, her 11.15 last 200m was race-fastest, and one of the day’s fastest. KEEN ARRAY led, faded late but held 4th. ANDRIOLI and EOLANDE were never likely, however, had 4th-quickest and 5th-quickest splits home.
The other 2YO race was Race 4 and it was won by THURLOW (also well backed) fresh, she had the right run just off a strong 33.69 1st-600m speed and won quite well, her time of 56.43 was (.59) slower than STOKER and Co. despite a quicker early split so race has not ‘’rated’’ as well for mine. HAYBAH sat off leader inside and kicked through, she ran well on strong speed. BROOKLYN was sound fresh. PARCEL went quick out deep but got lost up straight and ran about, given that, she went very well also. PROMPT RETURN? Expected better but lookers said he would be fitter.
William Hill Plate was the feature and PROFIT SHARE finally won a decent race, he did it well too, yes he was match-fit and all rivals were fresh-up but he ran 1-17.61 overall and 11.11 last 200m (day’s fastest closing split), that is his true ability! STRATUM STAR closed well for second (home 11.25) and MERION did well up on-speed fresh. CHIVALRY (home 11.27) was sound also given the moderate early tempo of 49.58.
THE FORGIVE FILE:
BROCKOFF (sore), DEJA BLUE (played-up pre-race/ trialled super prior), THUNDER GUN (lame), ONEROUS (stayed on inside lanes), GOULDIAN (not in A-ground either), LATEVA (wrong spot), O’MALLEY (between horses???), TADDEI TONDO (bit against/ track too firm also), SPIRITOF ENDEAVOUR (pulled/ wide on-speed), FINAL JEST (tardy again/ got lost) and KWANZA (mid race check).
In Sydney it was ROSEHILL on GOOD track with RAIL 3m. There was no mad pattern/ bias evident.
RUN OF THE DAY:
Filing the lower podium spots this week were IDEAL EXPRESS and DELECTATION but have to go with TALES OF GRIMM for major prize, he was slow out, recovered to midfield then was held-up coming into straight (whilst others have momentum) then really stretched recording quickest closing splits of the day! Terrific return.
… He ran over fit/ flying TAHITIAN BLACK too (good again!) with EARNEST ERNEST charing home along inside lanes for 3rd. The fave, WOODBINE was niggled the whole way off strong speed and never really travelled, he ran home well but was no match winner. It was run-ons race, best on-pacer was 5th-horse NOTHING LIKE LUCA, so, he went well given context of the race. Time: 1-9.82 off 35.04 1st-600m.
The Eskimo Prince looked a ripper race, and the first four home were all terrific. Winner SCISSOR KICK had the 1 -1 run and ran over DELECTATION who led and slipped away but ducked in sharply 150m out, fancy it cost him the win!? Either way, his return was super. HARRIER JET (fit/ every chance) was a solid 3rd back to inside and KERMADEC peeled out and looked the winner, fancy his run ended 100m or so out, fitter now! These four got away on the rest. Time: 1-9.96 off 35.8 1st-600m so, they went slower than older horses despite a near .8-second (say, roughly 4L) quicker early split.
CATKINS won the Breeders and kept her amazing fresh record in tact, she had to really dig as LILLIBURLERO was in for the fight after doing a touch of early work. They beat 3rd clearly, that 3rd-horse was MIHIRI who was fit, measured up well though. 4th, NEENA ROCK who was sound after being forced back between them nearer inside, all her form is outside of horses. JUST A BULLET had sound late splits for 5th. PLUCKY BELLE was average off great trial win. They ran 1-9.34 off 35.09 1st-600m so winner was some 2-3L quicker than Tales Of Grimm on the day, off a near identical early split.
2YO Inglis race was won by LADY JIVAGO who had the good run, no knock but fancy she was lucky given runner-up IDEAL EXPRESS was back, wide and had to sustain a long, wide run, kept closing though! Very good effort. SERENADE had little peace up front yet kicked, she had no answer late but went well given the pressure. ODYSSEY MOON had good backing, was every hope, ran 4th. DARTS AWAY closed well 5th and these beat rest easy. Time: 1-10.85 off strong 34.85 1st-600m.
THE FORGIVE FILE:
KONTIKI DANE (lame), DIAMOND VALORES (run off legs!), OUR VOODOO PRINCE (missed kick / on-pace race) and SCREAM MACHINE (back/wide VS race pattern).
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YEP – And she paid over $11 on race day !!

 

Here is a copy of what our G1 subscribers were sent

 

BEST VALUE BET OF THE DAY
SANDOWN (Hillside) – Race 3 No.9 – QUICKSILVER LASS – Slow out last time and tempo was moderate yet she found line nicely, her last 200m split of 11.87 was race-fastest, winner there Choose then won again. In 3kg below limit… Fancy she is the ”overs” here.