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Archive for October, 2014

SUMMARY OF LAST WEEK:
Racing was at CAULFIELD on Saturday for Caulfield Cup Day, track was GOOD, Rail 6m. There was no mad pattern/bias evident, winner’s led and swooped, as expected though, hard on that inside rail later in the day was not the A-ground.
RUN OF THE DAY: A couple to make the podium were AZKADELLIA and ADMIRE RAKTI, however, the major prize goes to LUCKY HUSSLER who ”grew a leg” with the blinkers on and was ultra-impressive winning the Moonga Stks.
He sat back off the strong speed (47.85 1st-800m) and just exploded past his rivals, he ”got lost” a bit late at Flemington when he hit the lead but with the gear on, went arrow straight, and smacked them! His closing splits were very good given said strong tempo too, his overall time was 1-23.49. Runner-up UNDER THE LOUVRE was on his back straightening, he ran home well (11.54 400m-to-200m and 11.84 last 200m – winner was 11.44/ 11.6). Third was GENERALIFE who was back and some 4-wide with no real cover yet still closed strong (home 12-flat) in good effort. MANAWANUI should have finished a bit closer, he raced tight key stage and SMOKIN’ JOEY closed from the back… It was a swooper’s race, these first five all came from midfield or back. 6th FLAMBERGE was best on-pacer. There were plenty of hard luck stories (see Forgive File) in a messy race but still trusting the form!
To the feature, the CAULFIELD CUP and ADMIRE RAKTI’s win was excellent! Back wide with cover, he peeled to the centre and wound up very strongly, this was not a strong-run Caulfield Cup (1-18.77 1st-1200m) which adds merit to he, and LUCIA VALENTINA who was behind the winner 600m out, she came wider and lost touch (almost 3L) as he quickened but she closed in very nicely, her 11.84 late split was race-fastest. Between them was RISING ROMANCE who had a lovely run and railed through, shot clear, but was grabbed late by winner probably in slightly better ground. BRAMBLES was a solid 4th (every chance) and ARALDO worked home nicely, he was back last at 1000m, saved ground, and was sound. LIDARI (every chance) was 6th, JUNOOB (had excuses) 7th, HAWKSPUR (no soft run) 8th, GREEN MOON (OK / Just didn’t finish off) 9th and BIG MEMORY (had same last 200m split as winner – 11.93) was 10th. They ran 2.32.12.
Race 8 saw a dead-heat between BEL SPRINTER (great effort 1st-up with 59kg from back off a moderate 35.54 1st-600m) and MIRACLES OF LIFE (on-speed inside leader, took over, joined on the line). SHAMAL WIND charged/ just missed them in third. BIG MONEY came with SHAMAL WIND and was sound, he never runs poorly. THERMAL CURRENT returned a gelding, sat wide on-speed off that modest speed and stuck on. DRIEFONTEI’s last 100m was tidy, she recorded an 11.54 last 200m, BEL SPRINTER had race-fastest 11.48. Overall time: 1-4.37
The David Jones Cup was run at a slow speed, they went 1-17.84 1st-1200m, to put it into perspective, the 3yo’s in Caulfield Classic over that trip led in 1-14.03 so Merion would have been leading JACQUINOT BAY roughly 22 lengths with 800m to travel… Wow! Winner CONTRIBUTOR had a lovely turn of foot and that won him the race, he left SIGNOFF standing at the 500m, SIGNOFF was very good his last 100m here (home 11.48 last 200m race-fastest) and given was back in trip, off that slow speed, has run very well. Between them NOBLE PROTECTOR ran 2nd from on-speed, winner sailed by her but she came back again and will get further. KINGDOMS was good, forgivable, but can we trust him…?? Time: 2-05.25
To the Caulfield Classic and, yep, they went hard, that 1-14.03 1st-1200m was even 8L quicker than the girls in Ethereal Stks, this made the win of FONTEIN RUBY excellent! Sat up second, headed by one, shook him off, joined by another, then fought her off! Outside of said winner, it was a run-ons race, CRAFTY ran home hard (so fillies 1-2 here) but she cannot get past FONTEIN. First male was FIREHOUSE ROCK who did hit the lead but just wilted abit late, LIGHT UP MANHATTAN was a sound 4th, MAGICOOL an OK 5th, BACHMAN checked off hees 600m and closed well, only CRAFTY had a quicker late split, he wants Flemington and probably, ground. They ran 2-03.82 but early tempo dictated the slick overall time of course.
The the Ethereal Stks and these girls ran 2-04.54 off a 1-15.39 1st1200m. Winner SET SQUARE was very strong on/over the line at just start three and has real upside still. MAASTRICHT a solid 2nd (every hope) and IMPERIAL LASS 3rd, ridden closer with blinkers, she too was sound. HIPSTER GIRL closed ok into 4th but was 3.3L off the trifecta so… They were superior, clearly!
Tristarc Stks was Race 6 and SWEET IDEA was well-rated, she got away with 50.23 1st-800m and slipped away on the turn, great ride! As she pinched that margin her main rivals were coming to the outside (so losing lengths off her). GIRL GUIDE ran on well into clear 2nd, CATKINS had nice trail, solid 3rd and both MAY’S DREAM (back/wide/home 11.38 last 200m – fastest all day) and POLITENESS (home 11.46) were very good. Thought GIRL IN FLIGHT went nicely here too, in limited room, she was 11.44 last 200m. DIAMOND DRILLE was fair, needs wetter before loading up for mine. Time: 1-25.42
THE FORGIVE FILE:
AZKADELLIA (moral beaten), DEVON PRINCESS (poor recovery), TUDOR (blocked/ clear when race was gone), LIBERATION (had issues post-race), WHITE HUNTER (wide), ARMADA (limited luck), LEEBAZ (never got out!), RAIZAN (badly blocked too), RIVER LAD (wide 3rd/ swoopers race), FINAL CRESCENDO (little guide), ADMIRE INAZUMA (no guide at all), MINNIE DOWNS (tempo against), KINGDOMS (lays-in badly/ still hit line!), MIDSUMMER SUN (swung wide Vs tempo), VILANOVA (lame), PINSTRIPE LANE (covered ground), WHITLAM (atrial fibrillation), JUNOOB (wide early/ got in/ wobbled turn/ still hit line), HAWKSPUR (wide/ keen), WHO SHOT THEBARMAN (mucous found), MORIARTY (went wide/ hung in), SEA MOON (sore), ANATINA (mucous/ lacerations = had issues!) and MISS STEELE (tempo against).
In Sydney it was RANDWICK on DEAD-5 Track with Rail 6m. All eight winner’s either led or sat just off the speed.
RUN OF THE DAY: AMOVATIO was the runner-up. Loved the wins of KURO and DEEP FIELD but major nod goes to KERMADEC who missed the kick, sat back then sustained a long, wide run with no trail in… against the pattern, and went down a lip (to the leader), he was a bright future!
… That leader was MUSCOVADO who set a good pace, out 59.89 1st-1000m and just lasted, overall time 1-35.85. CANDELARA just held 3rd (every hope) from ABDUCTION who was stopped at the 200m, then closed, should have run clear 3rd, at least! BRACTEATE ran home well out wide against the pattern into 5th.
The other mile race for older horses was won by EXCESS KNOWLEDGE (nice ride) and he ran 1-35.66 off a slower 1st-1000m, 1-00.62. PAEDEROS (sat handy/ bloused) was 2nd and leader SUPREME WARRIOR 3rd. Yep, on-pace trifecta, the run of AMOVATIO was a ripper, he had to change course 300m out then rushed home against race/day’s pattern!
KURO impressed and ran 1-9.69 so quicker than Nivison winner AVOID LIGHTNING (1-10.29) but the 3yo’s did run .55 (say 3L) quicker 1st-600m in their race. TIME FOR WAR was good on-speed given the big weight and INKLING was sound, but winner was far too good!
AVOID LIGHTNING showed her class! She knuckled down and bloused BROOK ROAD who came with her, 3rd-girl ROSE OF CHOICE was terrific given her wide run, she swept to the lead but was nailed late! SHE’S CLEAN (pleasing return) was 4th. COMMANDING WIT hit the wire late here too… and went nicely.
DEEP FIELD ran time again. He led, travelled, then quickly put 2-3L on his rivals recording 1-3.39 for 1100m off a 29.74 1st-500m. he is a star! THAT’S A GOOD IDEA railed behind him and ran 2nd. SHAMALIA the best of the closers into 3rd.
THE FORGIVE FILE:
LAST WITNESS (wide), LUCKY CHAPPY (wide), REIGNING (held-up/ on-pace race/ hit line!), MOHAVE (wide on-speed), KHALID (lame), I’VE GOT THE LOOKS (little luck again) and FLIGHT ACADEMY (very wide).
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There are not many tipping $6.50 specials… David “Gator” Gately produced this gem at Randwick on Saturday, EXCESS KNOWLEDGE saluted at $6.5 (best of totes)…

He also tipped the Caulfield Cup Trifecta and had a stack of other winners in his top-rated runners section.

 

Jump on board now – 1 month covers you until November 20th so well beyond the ”big four days at Flemington”

NOTE: Caulfield (Blue Sapphire Stks meeting) Wednesday, for G1 subscribers, will have top-rated runners and selections for all eight races so keep an eye on your in-box.
SUMMARY OF LAST WEEK:
Racing was at CAULFIELD on Saturday for Guineas Day, the track was GOOD, the rail was TRUE. It was no disadvantage being on the speed, in fact, nine of the ten winners either led, or were within 3L of the lead on the turn, the exception was HOSTING who cam from last off a suicidal tempo! Plenty of placegetters ran on from the back. Doubt hard on inside rail was the A-ground late in the day too.
RUN OF THE DAY:
Look, it was RICH ENUFF clearly but he wins it every time he races so going to share the love this week, honorable mention to ALMA’S FURY but the major price is going to AKAVOROUN who was posted wide no cover just off the strong speed in G1 Toorak and spotted the winner 2L turning, he had the toughest run of any runner yet ran winner to 1L on the wire, huge effort!
Said winner was, of course, TRUST IN A GUST who did a mighty job himself considering he chased a strong 47.99 1st-800m, took over a way out and was there to be run over, yet, he was as strong as any of them on/over the wire, outside of he (and AKAVOROUN) it was a run-ons race: SPEEDINESS (back to best/ ran home hard – his 11.94 last 200m was equal-second-quickest); DESERT JEUNEY (so ready to win right race); RHYTHM TO SPARE (cold ride/ home race-fastest 11.8 last 200m after racing tight more than once, good!); BULL POINT stayed hard on inside rail (it’s now Race 7 – maybe that was not the best ground?) and still had an 11.94 late split (eq-2nd-fastest). GUEST OF HONOUR was home OK with his 58kg at the Oz debut. Time: 1-35.2
To the G1 Caulfield Guineas and the speed/pressure was right on! RICH ENUFF led them in 47.69 1st-800m (so would have led the fillies 9L with 600m to go, and, would have led the G1 Toorak around 1.5L too!), he overraced today and was pressured a long way out by ALMALAD (who dropped out) before kicking strongly on that (slower?) inside rail, he just had no juice left to fight off SHOOTING TO WIN who had the nice trial off all the speed/pressure, still, he had to be good run down a freak and he was strong at the 1600m, he ran fast overall time 1-35.58 so only a few ticks below the G1 Toorak. WANDJINA (where were you last week?) was the best of the closers running race-fastest 23.57/ 12.11 last 400/200m and KUMAON kept closing, he was on the winner’s back on the home turn though. CHIVALRY (sound finale) was next from MERION who was enormous, see forgive file! Great race!!
The Fillies G1 (Thousand Guineas) did not rate anywhere near aswell, they went out slow (49.21 1st-800m) and ran 1-36.46. No surprise it was on-pace dominated, in fact, the first three at the 1200m ran the trifecta, AMICUS sat 2nd and responded well to riding to score, she is tough, genuine and has a nice touch of quality, she beat leader TRAVESTON GIRL who did fight. SABATINI was a sound/ every chance third. BRING ME THE MAID loomed a bit but laid-in which did not help, she was sound. TAHNI DANCER jumping 1200-to-1600m into a G1 worked home well, only LUMOSTY had a quicker last 400m split. GO INDY GO (warmed-up late but tempo gave her no hope) and LUMOSTY was a clear forgive file member too…
The other G1 was the Caulfield Stks and FAWKNER had the good run, he pounced at the right time and scored in 2-01.68 off the even 1-15.13 1st-1200m. CRITERION closed in strongly, his 11.34 last 200m was 2nd-fastest of any runner all-day and he bettered the split of SACRED FALLS (11.44) who had a very ”cold” first 1600m so plenty of merit. SIDE GLANCE led (see early split) and just held SACRED FALLS for that third prize, the latter did charge late. HAPPY TRAILS kept finding the line, he was solid, but a few were better. DEAR DEMI looked every hope but may want 2400m now. SERTORIUS sure does, and a handicap!
The G2 Herbert Power was Race 5 and it was a serious staying test! The ran along in 1-14.39 1st-1200m and leader BONFIRE revved things up 700m from home so there were very few ”cheap” sectionals here. BIG MEMORY had the good run, he did not handle the home turn well but clearly held SIGNOFF who had his chance. LET’S MAKE ADEAL ran home hard at big odds. Import PERFECTIONIST ran a ripper with his 59kg, well back and hampered key stage, he saw daylight and charged home nearer the inside, his 11.63 late split was clearly the fastest of the race, another import LORD VAN PERCY had second-quickest, 11.63, late split and was sound. ALBONETTI ran home well at his first go 2400m, he’ll be better for that. SANGSTER was pathetic. Time: 2.26.68. Record here is 2-25.32 and that was (obviously) a Caulfield Cup (fast-run – won by Diatribe).
Better mention Race 4 and RUBICK, he did not go as hard as many thought but 34.2 1st-600m is not pedestrian. He kicked strong and ran fast 56.6 overall time, that was .71 off the track record. PLATELET is a ripper, she hit the line hard for second after having the rails trail. OVERREACH lasted for third and gave her all, she has not grown much though. ICONIC rattled home 22.01 and 11.26 both the fastest closing splits all day.
THE FORGIVE FILE:
TRENCH FIGHTER (blew start/ good), STYLISH ASSASSIN (plays up pre-race/ sat wide), SETHELO (never on track), SILVERSANDS (internal bleed), SISTINE DEMON (led in sub-47 1st-800m/ interan bleed), TURQUISE KING (only clear when race was over), ALMA’S FURY (wide on hot speed/ excellent!), NOT LISTENIN’TOME (slow recovery), DISSIDENT (bled/ 2000m still a mystery), CRACKERJACK KING (lame), SOLICIT (lame), ATLANTE (back/ very wide!), ARABIAN GOLD (had to be amiss?), GO INDY GO (mentioned) and LUMOSTY (blew start/ last/ on-pace race), MERION (hung off track/ still hit line! Very good), LOOKS LIKE THE CAT (wide/ sore), ZEBULON (sore), FARE WELL (stays hard inside) and GIG (too wide).
In Sydney racing was at RANDWICK on GOOD track, Rail was 3m. Track played fast. All winners either led or were close to the speed bar HAMPTON COURT who sat back off the ridiculous speed, and that race was 2000m. Safe to say, on-pace runners had strong advantage today!
RUN OF THE DAY:
Runners-up this week were LANDLOCKED and NEENA ROCK but giving major nod to TELEPATHIC who was terrific running on fresh-up (off lovely trial) behind in-form BOSS LANE who is handy, and was up on speed! She’ll get further TELEPATHIC and first few here beat the others clearly…
… Winner BOSS LANE is flying and building a great record on dry tracks. ATMOSPHERICAL led the winner (35.5 1st-600m) and held 3rd to TUBULENT JET who ran home OK against the pattern fresh-up, he too trialled well prior. LAW is all yours. Time: 1-9.55
Back to Race 7 and NEENA ROCK produced an excellent performance given she was skittled on the home turn, balanced-up and ran down ESTONIAN PRINCESS who had led, on on-pacers track, and kicked, they ran away from 3rd. Leader recorded 47.98 1st-800m, they ran good overall time here in 1-34.46. Third mare DANESIRI was checked on home turn then did rush home, she went well. GYPSY DIAMOND is not at her best, paddock, start again please.
The G1 was Race 6 and the speed was madness. PANZER DIVISION led in a staggering 1-11.55 1st-1200m, his first 1400m was 1-22.94, these would be great times on their own, the problem, there was 800/600m left to travel. It was a swoopers race and HAMPTON COURT had the last crack, gee it was a strong stying effort though, under pressure long way out (700m or so) and flat 400m out then ran over the top of FIRST SEAL and SWEYNESSE who looked a certain quinella mid-straight. The filly FIRST SEAL looked gone herself before the turn and responded, she still beat SWEYNESSE home and he had her ”cold” turning. PRESS REPORT chased the hot speed and held 4th, he thrashed the rest too. Time: 2.0.19
To put these times into persepctive, ORDER OF THE SUN led (hard) in Race 2 also over 2000m, his early 1200m split was 1-13.82 so PANZER DIVISION would have been around 14L in front of him with 800m to run… Wow!!!
ORDER OF THE SUN was strong by the way, GRAND MARSHALL was clearly second-best and BEST CASE, well, facy a strong 2000m, 3rd-up jumping in trip caught him out. They ran a fast 2.0.36.
THE FORGIVE FILE:
BROOKLYN (4-wide), FEAST FOR EYES (bad start), SEBRING SUN (good thing beaten), GOOD PROJECT (wide), GOLDEN ARO (covered ground), KING KAMADA (also was posted wide), SHOUT TO THE TOP (poor recovery), RIVA DE LAGO (back/ keen/ on-pace race), PANZER DIVISION (this was not the Oakleigh Plate), FOREVER CRAZY (checked key stage/ did hit line), CHINTZ (upside/ down) and DUKE ALBERT (wide).
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Big quaddie! $5600+

Author: Gator

Yep, our man David ”Gator” Gately not only found the quaddie in BOTH Melbourne and Sydney in his ”top-rated runners” section (Melb quaddie paid $5600+)… He actully had all six winners in the ”BIG-6″ in his top-5… It paid a massive $55,000+

He made a great case for FOREVER LOVED in the 3rd-leg of Melb Quad… She paid $13 straight out of the ‘Forgive File”…

 

Add to that, plenty of other winners: Brazen Beau, Whoshothebarman, Chautauqua all on-top.