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Archive for August, 2014

Memsie Stks Day

Author: Gator
PLEASE NOTE:
All ratings for CAULFIELD are for GOOD/ DEAD track. Rail is out 6m. Was 3m here last time with no mad pattern/bias (despite diesel spill) and expecting level playing field with no disadvantage to those on-speed.
In Sydney we are back at ROSEHILL. Ratings are for HEAVY track. Rail is 6m. Was 3m last time and track played beautifully. With heavy ground expecting they will be off the inside lanes pretty quickly. Watch/Monitor though.
BET OF THE DAY (Melb)
CAULFIELD – Race 8 No.2 – BOBAN – Lovely trial then blew start fresh, held-up touch, then flashed late (11.4 last 200m but loved that last 100m!!). Unbeaten in Melbourne last Spring. Top pick.
BET OF THE DAY (Syd)
ROSEHILL – Race 7 No.12 – GREATWOOD – Good/Gallant 3rd on-pace fresh (first Oz start) and much better suited 1800m. He ran 2nd in a stakes race at home his one go wet. Looks the only leader here (and assuming Best Case goes to Melb) so leaning his way.
BEST VALUE BET OF THE DAY
CAULFIELD – Race 9 No.17 – BEST CASE – Got lost 1st-up in on-pace race then rattled home tick over 45-secs his last 800m, and 11.04 last 200m, fastest all day. Top return. He closed well in G2 2nd-up last prep on good day for on-pacer’s. Can beat these if they gain a start.. Overs!
BEST EACH-WAY BET OF THE DAY
CAULFIELD – Race 2 No.7 – LORNA MAY – Heavily backed 1st-up and made Rock Sturdy really work to beat her. That winner was good prior behind the talented Cluster and, of course, then won again last week. All her dry track form is terrific. 2nd-up last prep she split Interspersed/ Liberty’s Choice.
BEST ROUGHIE OF THE DAY
ROSEHILL – Race 3 No.9 – KHALID – Sound late splits here at 1500m then was $10-to-$8 Kenso on wet and produced a big finish to score. He is proven at 2400m at home. Can win and overs for mine $15.
Lay Of The Day:
CAULFIELD – Race 5 No.15 – VAIN QUEEN – Freshened. Trialled fairly. Come up short in deep race and layable at the price.
TOP-RATED RUNNERS:
CAULFIELD
Race 1 – 3YOF BM78 – 1400m
  1. 1 – VEUVELICIOUS – Resumes. Trialled very nicely. Won Fernhill Stks in April with 58kg giving weight to males so she can beat BM78 girls with 58.5kg. Looks wound-up and loosk to have come on! Top-rater.
  2. 5 – WINESEARCH – Won well fresh then no match for handy male Deiheros last time, that winner boasts a G3 3rd to London Lolly/ Go Indy Go. 1400m looks ok. Danger.
  3. 4 – AMICUS – Stuck to his task in Sydney behind Press Report and Liberation, the latter was first past the post and then simply threw away the G3 race last week, he beat the rest ok and wasn’t bad behind Eloping before spell.
  4. 3 – TOP SIGHT – Good return win Bendigo running by Clover Lane (3rd) who then placed to Bring Me The Maid Randwick last week. Veuvelicious safely held her when they clashed at the end of last prep and she only has 1kg swing but has had the run under the belt.
  5. 8 – EMBRACE THE ROCK – Was very new on debut but did close nicely and was $6-to-$4.6 late. Yes 1400m. Has stack of upside but jumps in class.. Has a future.
Race 2 – Mares Hcp – 1400m
  1. 7 – LORNA MAY – Heavily backed 1st-up and made Rock Sturdy really work to beat her. That winner was good prior behind the talented Cluster and, of course, then won again last week. All her dry track form is terrific. 2nd-up last prep she split Interspersed/ Liberty’s Choice.
  2. 3 – ARE THERE ANY – Caught wide, worked forward and went down swinging 1st-up in top effort. 2nd Charmed Harmony won well midweek, her 2nd-up form is good, she is back to her own sex and her form through Text ‘N Hurley/ Five All and Bonaria is good enough here. Chance!
  3. 4 – SUAVITO – Resumes. Outsped in jump out but went OK. Closed hard for 1L 3rd to Solicit fresh last prep in high-rating Kewney Stks. Has the class here for sure. Winning hope.
  4. 6 – NADEEM LASS – Copping a bit of stick for not winning but the reality is her last two she has been trapped wide and run very well for mine. Has fitness edge on a few here. Do think 1400m is as far as she wants.
  5. 8 – WINTA CHILLER – Vet found post-race issues last time. Luckless prior to Sino Eagle who then ran well in Listed Aurie’s Star. Down in weights.
  6. 9 – ANGELIC LASS – Luckless key stage latest and also has claims at odds.
Race 3 – Hcp – 1400m
  1. 8 – HENWOOD – Close-up last week despite carting 59kg (giving weight to some handy sprinters) and being 6-weeks between runs. Like him better at 1400m and maps well here 4th, 5th inside with no weight!
  2. 11 – BASS STRAIGHT – Resumes. Jumpout was good hitting line hard between runners from last. Was not far off Chase The Rainbow/ Star Rolling fresh last prep at 1600m and has won 1st-up. Come up big odds for one who has run well at WFA.
  3. 13 – SPY DECODER – Thought he was good 1st-up Rosehill given he was the best closer in that on-pace race, Maroon Bay 2nd has city/Sat form here, jump to 1400m suits, As a 70-rater he is not well weighted is all (Bass Straight 90-rater). Still, ratings are often much smarter AFTER the race! Goes in for mine.
  4. 3 – PILLAR OF CREATION – Had genuine excuses last time. Prefer him at 1400m anyway. Has won 3 of 4 this track/trip and maps well.
  5. 5 – EXIMIUS – Did win well last time (nice ride/ well weighted/ was backed heavy!) but confidence may be back now and claims down again. He beat Henwood home 14/6 in heat of WC at 1400m (they meet similar weight terms).
  6. 12 – TEXT ‘N HURLEY – Lovely return when run off legs yet still ran home fastest last 200m, clearly! Yes 1400m. Has had little set-back I hear so shuffled down but has the class if 100%…
  7. 10 – SIGNOFF – Resumes. Promising stayer. Watch for him late.
Race 4 – BM78 – 1200m
  1. 9 – LATE CHARGE – Resumes. Looked sharp in trial sitting handy and winning it well. Terrific 3rd in Autumn Stks fresh last prep charging home on tough day for run-on horses. He was under 3L off Shamus Award/ Criterion 2nd-up off a wide run in a G1.
  2. 4 – BY THE GRACE – Resumes. Excellent trial win. Outsped a touch then hit line hard when 1L of Churchill Dancer fresh last prep at this trip. Gives Late Charge 2kg? Leaning that way.
  3. 7 – CELESTAIL CENTURY – Off 9-week freshen. Led/ Kept going to win jump out well 22/8. Back from Hong Kong. When last in Oz he had form around Didn’tcostalot and beat Angel Of Mercy. Wary!
  4. 10 – MARWOOD – Just no match for Play Master latest but that winner had just run very well behind Hard Stride/ Under The Louvre. Would love some jar out but is up to BM78 class for sure.
  5. 16 – SHADES OF BELLA – Good return win given 1000m is not really her go. Was not all that far off Anantina/ Gregers before the spell. Needs touch of luck from the gate.
  6. 3 – PETRIFY – Resumes. Found line quite well when 1.8L off Adamantium/ Pago Rock fresh in March, that run gives him a hope here in 78 grade…
Race 5 – The Heath – 1100m
  1. 2 – RICHIE’S VIBE – Resumes. Brilliant trial win by 6.5L in Adelaide. Unbeaten fresh. Beat Moment Of Change at WFA at this trip in G2 in Jan.
  2. 1 – FLAMBERGE – Resumes. Pace/ Good 2nd to A Time For Julia in jumpout in fastest time of morning, they thrashed 3rd (Lion Of Belfort). Won fresh last prep then was less than 3L off Lankan Rupee in high-rating Oakleigh Plate here, when wide. Can win!
  3. 5 – PAGO ROCK – Resumes. Won 5 x races fresh. Hit line for 2.2L 4th in G1 Lightning Stks at WFA fresh last prep, has 5.5kg swing on Richie’s Vibe and finished right behind him Oaks Day last year. In this too.
  4. 9 – LONHSPRESSO – Resumes. Warmed up late when 3.5L 4th to General Peekay this trip fresh but was found to be lame post-race. All wins have been at 1200m but gets smother gate 1, just needs the luck.
  5. 11 – RIFLEMAN – Top return win then beat all-bar one Randwick off a fast pace and they were .7 outside the course record.
  6. 15 – VAIN QUEEN – Fresh. Trialled fairly. Can win but is short…
Race 6 – Mcneil Stks – 3YO – 1200m
  1. 9 – CHIVALRY – Resumes. Went super in jump out. Ran as well as Nostradamus in Diamond lead-up and in the G1 Diamond behind Earthquake. Always looked to my eye he’d be a better 3yo… Of the trials, looks like that is the case!
  2. 11 – AWESOME ROCK – Resumes. Also going super at jump outs. Looked smart winning start two then ran enormous in G2 Sires to Zululand off wide run.
  3. 12 – FORGIVE AND FORGET – Doubt he loved MV and 1000m was too sharp yet he still found the line well, only Stingray had faster last 400m, he then ran very well here to Get The Nod. Yes 1200m and has real scope. Good roughie !!
  4. 1 – ZULULAND – Ran onto heels and lost momentum fresh but loved the way he went through the line. Won VRC Sires then bumped into Go Indy Go (could be anything) in ATC Sires. Does he want further now, only tiny query.
  5. 2 – BOOMWAA – Had no peace up front latest and battled well… May get out to silly odds here…
Race 7 – Cockram Stks – Mares – 1200m
  1. 3 – GREGERS – Had easy lead but thrashed them 1st-up and scooted home fastest last 200m split all day, her form in high-rating Oakleigh Plate behind Lankan Rupee is outstanding for any mares race. SWP Scale suits.
  2. 6 – A TIME FOR JULIA – Resumes. Outstanding jump out win beating Flamberge (fastest time of morning/ they thrashed 3rd). Sat wide and won well fresh last prep then measured up to G1 class placing to Red Tracer and running well in Coolmore Classic.
  3. 10 – REAL SURREAL – Resumes. Given a squeeze and exploded for top trial win. Close-up 1.3L 4th to Sweet Idea fresh last prep ties in well given her Coolmore run… and recent fresh win over males.
  4. 2 – COMMANDING JEWEL – Resumes. Another trialling brilliantly. The 1000m with 58kg vs males was bit much (bit sharp0 fresh last prep, she then beat Catkins, and A Time For Julia at 1400m. G1 mare. Great race!
  5. 1 – DEAR DEMI – Resumes. Did quicken and won trial well. Covered ground with 59kg and wasn’t far off Catkins fresh last prep. Proven better than mares grade herself.
  6. 11 – HAZARD – Resumes. Have to include off that trial win over Lankan Rupee too…
Race 8 – G1 Memsie Stks – WFA – 1400m
  1. 2 – BOBAN – Lovely trial then blew start fresh, held-up touch, then flashed late (11.4 last 200m but loved that last 100m!!). Unbeaten in Melbourne last Spring. Top pick.
  2. 7 – MESSENE – Trialled well then just missed Sweet Idea fresh. Has this great 2nd-up record and never missed the quinella on dry ground. Ticked the WFA box to some extent last time. Gets gun run!
  3. 11 – SWEET IDEA – Headed by Messene but showed great will to win fresh, there was definite improvement in her accoridng to lookers. Sits on Moment Of Change here. A must.
  4. 3 – MOMENT OF CHANGE – Pleasing return given 62kg! Has great 2nd-up stats, and is 4 from 4 this track/trip, two of those were G1′s at WFA.
  5. 6 – PUISSANCE DE LUNE – Trapped wide fresh and ran quite well given that. Surprised they stay at 1400m is all, fancy he may want further soon but in wider quad on class.
Race 9 – Heatherlie Hcp – 1700m
  1. 4 – BRAMBLES – Swung wide/Closed well WFA last time, he did record 3rd-fastest closing splits. Back to Hcp out to 1700m good recipe! Go well.
  2. 6 – STIPULATE – Resumes. Sat off speed in jump out and quickly shot through for neat win. Better for first Oz prep when ran very well behind highly-rated Our Voodoo Prince and Co. Wary!
  3. 7 – ARALDO – Resumes. Also went very well in jump out. $13-to-$9 in this last year but was ”slaughtered”. Chased Star Rolling into 3rd second-up. Hmmm.
  4. 3 – MR O’CEIRIN – Resumes. Was off similar freshen when bloused on line in this last year with 57.5kg. This race no deeper.
  5. 8 – LET’S MAKE A DEAL – Pleased fresh but Brambles was better. Beaten 3L by Fiorente in Aust Cup 2nd-up last year… Chased Star Rolling. In the mix for sure.
ROSEHILL
Race 1 – 3YO BM70 – 1400m
  1. 7 – FIRST SEAL – Flew home on debut then put away. Good return win Kenso running around 3L faster than the spruiked Himpapawid on same day despite going a touch slower early, her race ”rated” better, so going this way.
  2. 3 – HIMPAPAWID – Bit tardy, covered ground and swept to lead for terrific debut win, no doubt he is smart also, jumps to 1400m but looks like he will eat that. Danger.
  3. 8 – SWEYNESSE – Resumes. Sat off speed/ deep in trial and ran home hard, good trial. Debut win was impressive and looks to have bright future too…
  4. 2 – BURNING PASSION – Walked in Canterbury heavy at $1.40. Ran into a couple of handy ones in two placings prior, one was Sarajevo who then measured-up in strong field here. Good race to start us off!
Race 2 – F&M BM75 – 2000m
  1. 4 – BLAZING DRAGON – Was making ground when copped slight baulk and lost momentum last time, has weight swing today and proven wet. Suited 2000m. Last chance dance though.
  2. 3 – SCARLETTI – Never seen wet but was strong home here last time when just touched off by Forever Crazy out to 1900m. Extra 100m a plus here, she did beat Blazing Dragon there. If handles it, goes close.
  3. 1 – MADE TO ORDER – Found some traffic late when close-up behind Scarletti etc. latest, after claims she is the weight horse from that race, her one go wet was a randwick win in good style.
  4. 11 – DON’T TELL LINDA – Comes through same race as 2nd, 3rd raters, didn’t have ton of luck herself, handled slow but not seen heavy so?
  5. 5 – ZAZPARELLA – Disappointed last time but perhaps she is better leading, is unbeaten heavy so that brings her right back into this… She did start $4F there… Gets another chance.
Race 3 – BM80 – 2400m
  • 9 – KHALID – Sound late splits here at 1500m then was $10-to-$8 Kenso on wet and produced a big finish to score. He is proven at 2400m at home. Can win and overs for mine $15.
  1. 3 – GEORGEY AEROPLANE – Out to 2400m last time and got a bit lost (mile back in small field) but made up plenty of ground, that was a modest tempo, there are 3 of 4 leaders in this so expecting genuine speed, like Bowman up. Handles wet.
  2. 6 – TOHUNGA – Did beat Georgey Aeroplane home there (behind Saigan Tea who’d be fave here) and one go wet was a strong win at 2000m. Query, there is pressure on paper here so tactics key.
  3. 4 – JO JO GIRL – Stays well. Loves wet and very genuine. Just missed Surpass last week. Up in weights here but winning hope wet.
  4. 8 – AY NO DIGAS – Looked gone WFM latest but fought/won at 2200m, that telsl me he will relish 2400m. Tempo/Pressure key. No idea wet.
Race 4 – F&M BM80 – 1100m
  1. 4 – MAYSOON – Forgive the fresh miss (in worst ground/ galloped on). Prefer her at 1100m anyway, her one wet run she was 3.7L off Cosmic Endeavour/ Diamond Oasis here.
  2. 6 – JEMERICA – Had no hope at the weights Vs males last time. Thrashed Thiamandi prior (then won very well) and finished ahead of Morron Bay before that (she was then beaten a lip in Sydney). Loves wet. Go well.
  3. 3 – VALID CONTRACT – Resumes. Shared speed with In Cahoots in trial, was no match but held 2nd and went well. Placed 3 of 4 fresh. Has not seen wet for a while but early in her career she got through it very well.
  4. 1 – OH SO ADORABLE – Good return when collared late by classy one. Has won heavy but failed last two on that surface, with excuses I guess, has won 2nd-up. Claim crucial.
  5. 12 – MAROON BAY – Good against males last time. Proven on Slow ground. Chance but come up fave and unders for mine.
Race 5 – BM95 – 1500m
  • 9 – BEYOND THANKFUL – Stayed on inside here fresh and had sound late splits behind Territory. He thrashed a wet-tracker (World Wide) 2nd-up last prep on heavy WFM at 1600m. Has won 2 of 3 second-up. Senior rider (Bowman) takes over!
  1. 1 – KIRRAMOSA – Top return in WFA Missile Stks when raced tight key stage, thought her run ended late anyway, gets to 1500m. She is the class here and claims down. Hasn’t seen heavy on raceday but bred to handle it, if that helps???
  2. 7 – TOUGHER THAN EVER – He is simply a wet-tracker for mine. Improved out of sight on wet in Rowley Mile last week when looked touch stiff! Always goes in on wet.
  3. 12 – SPY DECODER – Live chance if here not Melb, has handled Slow ground.
  4. 3 – HOOKED – Top return running on in on-pace race, his Derby run on heavy was terrific. Only goes up 100m to 1500m the query but has the class/quality and goes in too.
  5. 2 – LUCKY CHAPPY – Good late in same race as Hooked, this was home 11.28 and Hooked 11.26… It was on-pace race!!
Race 6 – Run To The Roses – 3YO – 1200m
  1. 5 – HALLOWED CROWN – Resumes. Sat off pace in trial, was niggled, ran on hard. Loved the debut win then easily beat the gifted Washington Heights on heavy and spelled. How good?
  2. 11 – SARAJEVO – Didn’t get the tempo, or the galloping room he needed in Rosebud but he was close-up to Scissor Kick/ better Land and that form was franked last week. First go wet.
  3. 7 – SCRATCH ME LUCKY – Resumes. Sat back at tail in trial and ran over them all, he went super. Beat Country Warrior early last prep (that’s the horse 2nd to Hallowed Crown at his debut) then had wet form behind Peggy Jean and Go Indy Go in G1 races. Bit underrated.
  4. 3 – GHIBELLINES – Resumes. Ran on hard under no riding in terrific trial. Was first male home in Slipper on heavy. Best career run was the day they rode him stone cold (missed kick). Suspect that is key.
  5. 1 – ALMALAD – Resumes. Beat a good one in Brazen Beau before spell at 1600m. Has serious upside. 1st-up and first go wet 60kg… Neds to be real good, but may well be…. what odds?
  6. 8 – KUMAON – and 2 – BRAZEN BEAU – Obviously in mix too… Great race.
Race 7 – Premiers Cup – 1800m
  1. 12 – GREATWOOD – Good/Gallant 3rd on-pace fresh (first Oz start) and much better suited 1800m. He ran 2nd in a stakes race at home his one go wet. Looks the only leader here so leaning his way.
  2. 14 – BEST CASE – If here (reasons outlined Caulfield form)…
  3. 2 – OPINION – Went waaay back fresh and made up stack of ground, his last 800m was 45-and-change and last 200m 11.16 so ignore the ”13th” in your form, he went well, he beat Carlton House and Junoob easily on wet 2nd-up last prep.
  4. 5 – HE’S YOUR MAN – Did enough 1300m fresh then strong win 2nd-up 1500m, suspect there is more to come here 3rd-up to 1800m and he handled wet well at home early in the career.
  5. 3 – BONFIRE – His Oz debut was good too, bloused late by Hoylonny. His one wet run at home was 3rd in $320K Criterium Stks at 1600m.
  6. 4 – HOYLONNY – Had a few forgive runs then saved for one run last time and produced his best… His best remember is Sertorius form, Permit form etc.
Race 8 – BM85 – 1200m
  1. 6 – CLUSTER – Scratched last week on heavy-10. Debut was Ok behind on Slow and hasn’t seen wet since. Two top wins this prep and latest over Rock Sturdy reads well, in good time.
  2. 14 – REFLECTANCE – Outstanding trial then looked just about to come with the winner when chopped out fresh. They ran fast time. 1200m suits better. His heavy track ”miss” he was 5th in a G1 BTC Cup!
  3. 3 – MOUNT NEBO – Solid 3rd last week and arguably should have finished bit closer to Diamond Oasis (found trouble when getting off ”slower” inside lanes). Was unbeaten heavy prior. Super effort prior on dry.
  4. 9 – WEINHOLT – Squeezed out early then posted wide last time, forgive! He still kept closing, he still has that Long John form on the CV. Stays on radar for sure.
  5. 5 – TWO BLUE – Resumes. Good speed trial win. Beat You’ll Never/ Mount Nebo on wet fresh last prep! Weights against here but goes in…
Good luck !
Gator
:)

The freak !

Author: Gator

”Our man” David “Gator” Gately was outstanding on G1 Memsie Stks Day, check this out:

Winners on top:

GREATWOOD (Bet Of The Day) $5.5

HALLOWED CROWN $7

CHIVALRY $7

LATE CHARGE $5.5

HENWOOD $4.2

GREGERS $2.5 top-fluc

 

Add to that… A stack of value winners in his top-two selections: FLAMBERGE ($8.5), SWEYNESSE ($10), STIPULATE ($9.5 was bet) & GEROEGEY AEROPLANE…

Plus… winners like WEINHOLT given a big wrap at stupid odds… Oh, and A STACK of quinella’s, trifecta’s and even firt-4′s in his ”famous” Top-rated runners section.

 

Jump on board this Spring at Ozracingform.com for just $34.99 per month and get info from the BEST in the business!

Summary/ Forgive File

Author: Gator
SUMMARY OF LAST WEEK:
Racing was at MOONEE VALLEY on Saturday, track was DEAD-4 to GOOD-3 and rail was 4m. There was no pattern/bias evident and the track played extremely well.
RUN OF THE DAY: Stack of excellent runs this week, our runners-up were GIRL GUIDE and TRUST IN A GUST but have to give the major prize to RICH ENUFF who worked to lead early and run a slick 35.04 1st-600m (clear fastest of 4 x 1200m races, in fact, had his race been run at same time as the Trust In A Gust event, he would have been leading Laohu by around 9L with 600m to run), he then gave a huge kick and stopped the clock at 1-10.17 which was just .88 outside Miss Andretti’s course record, at his second start. Outstanding win!
…It is also worth noting the second and 3rd-horses were last and second-last at the 400m, they were FAST CASH (hit line hard – his 11:34 last 200m off that fast speed is good going and was race-fastest) and TURFANE (home 11:50). MERION was 4th despite covering a stack of ground, like the way he went over the line too, good return!
Race 8 was the Carlyon Stks and, as expected, they went mad up front here. That 1st-600m split of 33.15 off a standing start is flying, no shock it was left to those off the speed to run first four: ICONIC had the nice trail in midfield then sprinted quick, he ran 57.75 and was only .52 outside the 1000m track record. ANGELS BEACH should have won for mine, just held-up with no momentum at that key stage! Very good/Stiff. ANGELIC LIGHT blew the start, saved ground and was a top return herself given the start, add to that she did race tight early in home straight. SHAMAL WIND just didn’t get the room she needed, don’t think Craig Williams was ever able to open the throttle fully, she still savaged the line and ran race-fastest 11.37 last 200m. AFRICAN PULSE held on well after covering ground off strong speed. VILLA VERDE worked home ok after being forced wider than the ideal scenario. Great race.
Back to Race 3 and all honours to TRUST IN A GUST who sat 3-wide no cover, albeit off a modest 36.61 1st-600m, and toughed it out to score and nail SOLSAY who had sat up second. UNDER THE LOUVRE flashed late, he went 11.23 400-to-200m then 11.08 his last 200m which was the fastest all day, he has the finish of a group horse no doubt! Both OUR HAND OF FAITH (raced tight but others held him on the line) and HENWOOD made solid returns. Overall time: 1-10.81
Brilliant return win in Race 5 by GIRL GUIDE who sat up second and exploded clear and ran 1:10.85 for the 1200m, the 1st-600m split of the race was a solid 35.84 (roughly 4L quicker than Laohu in the Trust In A Gust race), she has come back in terrific order. JACINTA had the trail on her back, got the run, but was left standing by the winner, she beat everything else clearly and was well-backed. Outside of these two girls there was .7L covering 3rd-to-8th which says a lot, of those perhaps SPLASH OF MOET over further can win soon in touch easier grade. VICARIO had good late splits (and made forgive file).
Race 9 saw some very nice fresh runs! Winner was MOURINHO who had the nice run in transit and just beat stablemate HVASSTAN who railed all the way home from midfield, 3rd was THE UNITED STATES who came from well back and was forced very wide yet still rocketed late, he was unlucky to miss the podium for ”Run Of The Day” by the way! Yet another who flew fresh here was ST JEAN and he managed some of the better closing splits of the day, nice! ZANBAGH did more than enough, on/over the line she was strong too. Of the match-fit ones, FAST AND FREE led/boxed on ok and RUGGED CROSS kept closing but they have both been up a while now. Time: 1-32.16 for the 1500m.
THE FORGIVE FILE:
COOL HERO (lame), WROTHAM HEATH (moral beaten), POST D’FRANCE (limited luck key stage but jury is out), ACADEMY JACK (found traffic, again!!!), ROYAL MEPHISTO (back/ found trouble), VICARIO (ran out of room/ equal fastest last 400m split still), BENENDEN (4-wide no cover), CAVEKA (still not out), ORUJO (wide on strong speed), MINAJ (too much pressure), KENCELLA (too much pressure/ didn’t handle ‘Melb way’ too well either), STREETS AWAY (wide) and MOBACO (very wide).
In Sydney it was RANDWICK and track was HEAVY-9 down to HEAVY-10. They pretty much all avoided the inside rail in the home straight, a number of winner’s were able to sit deep. There was rain through the day so tread warily with relative times.
RUN OF THE DAY: Honourable mentions to GREEN BERET and CRITERION but have to go with TERRAVISTA who sat wide just off the speed then put the race away very quickly straightening, he ran an 11.2 split 400-to-200m on the heavy, he was super-impressive first go genuine wet.
He ran 1-12.39 off a 36.29 1st-600m and is in for a good prep. The others: IN CAHOOTS was a solid second off some nice trial form and beat the others clearly. BULL POINT worked home well late to just grab the third, his 12:10 last 200m was just 2/100ths of a second off that of the winner and stable did try and scratch him pre-race (denied – no track downgrade). MONTON was quite good too, especially given he was closer to those inside lanes. MORIARTY made a sound return here too, home 12:28.
TIGER TEES absolutely controlled Race 6, he led at tick under 51-seconds his 1st-800m and kept kicking on his favourite (wet) track, those resuming all finished in a line behind him: ROYAL DESCENT (on-speed inside leader/ kept giving!), CRITERION (had room between quinella and loomed a bit, his run ended last 100m, liked his return), SACRED FALLS (came wider/ battled well all way) and HAWKSPUR (sat wide off pace – same spot as Terravista – and was also good). WEARY had no hope off this tempo, he and HAWKSPUR actually had equal fastest last 200m, 12:48. Overall time: 1-27.73
Back to 3yo’s and Race 3 firstly, what a horrible watch! LIBERATION pretty much ruined the race by running out sharply a few times, he still only went down a head, he was one of three or four who could say they most unlucky not to win, to my eye, he threw it away! SCISSOR KICK (who doubt loved wet by the way) got the clear run and nailed PANZER DIVISION who also had clear air inside the main rivals. VALENTIA copped one baulk then kept closing. BETTER LAND was run off the track, twice, as was MEURSAULT… Ugly watch. Be wary this form, obviously! Time: 1-18.78 for 1300m.
The girls did battle over 1200m in Race 4 and BRING ME THE MAID was too classy, she sat off them and travelled sweetly, MEMROIAL made a real race of it as they straightened but winner was stronger late, fancy he run ended late too, winner did carry the 57kg and runner-up had 54kg so…. CLOVER LANE was a sound 3rd, she still has upside to her, jury is out on NAYELI. Time: 1-12.37 off 35.89 1st-600m.
To Race 8 and DIAMOND OASIS survived a big betting drift, he did a good job coming from off midfield and weaving through, he nailed GREEN BERET who had led, inside a line of 4, with 61kg, and was the only survivor left of those speed runners, big effort! MOUNT NEBO had mixed luck but the quinella did hold him that last 50m. Nice finish again here from WOULDN’T IT BE NICE, his 12:04 last 200m was clearly race-fastest, MISS ALIBI ran home quite well also (home 12:28). Overall time: 59.13 off 35.29 1st-600m.
THE FORGIVE FILE:
LAIDBACK LARRY (wet/ 61kg), COCKTAIL TIME (too wet), BETTER LAND (oh dear!), MEURSAULT (taken off track too), JUNOOB (no guide), WEARY (tempo gave him no hope), KRISTY LEE (railed/ worst ground), DIAMOND DRILLE (thumps), THUMP (cardiac arrhythmia) and IT’S POETS DAY (4-wide on-speed)
=============================================================================================================
WEDNESDAY’S TIPS:
TOP-RATED RUNNERS:
SANDOWN (Lakeside)
Race 1 – BM64 – 1200m
  1. 5 – SHAF –
  2. 3 – BERLUTTI –
  3. 8 – NOZOMI –
  4. 1 – SILENT WHISPER –
  5. 2 – BELFLYER –
Race 2 – Maiden – 1400m
  1. 10 – DIVAN –
  2. 2 – CREATE A STIR –
  3. 11 – KARIGARA –
  4. 9 – CONGRESS –
  5. 8 – BONYATTA –
Race 3 – BM90 – 1400m
  1. 8 – CHARMED HARMONY –
  2. 4 – INFINITE ENERGY –
  3. 7 – TRISTRAM’S SUN –
  4. 5 – MISTER IMPATIENCE –
  5. 2 – MORANT –
Race 4 – BM70 – 2100m
  1. 5 – AMAVERDE –
  2. 4 – PRINCE JESTER –
  3. 3- DARLIMURLI STAR –
  4. 7 – DE NEDERLANDEN –
  5. 6 – KUHREIHEN –
Race 5 – F&M BM70 – 1200m
  1. 12 – MUST BE MINK –
  2. 5 – DIAMOND GLOW –
  3. 4 – HOT MAMA –
  4. 11 – PATHWAYS –
  5. 7 – JUDICIAL ROCK –
Race 6 – BM64 – 1200m
  1. 1 – BELESRON –
  2. 12 – CREAMERY LANE –
  3. 7 – VEE FORCE –
  4. 2 – SPENCER STREET –
  5. 3 – ARCTIC SONG –
Race 7 – F&M BM78 – 1600m
  1. 7 – PINDAN PEARL –
  2. 13 – ARDELLE –
  3. 11 – IRION –
  4. 12 – LILY DAZZLER –
  5. 5 – HAMAM –
Race 8 – BM70 – 1600m
  1. 6 – CLAIRVAUX –
  2. 3 – BARDEM –
  3. 10 – MAGNATUNE –
  4. 5 – TUCANCHOO –
  5. 7 – GRIDHIAN –
Good luck !
Gator

Gator kicks off 2014 Spring brilliantly, at the time our G1 email went out, his Bet Of The Day in Melb GREGERS was $3; his Bet Of The Day in Syd ENTIRELY PLATINUM was $3.5… They both won easily at MUCH shorter quotes on raceday!

 

Gator had plenty of other winners too: INFINITE ENERGY ($9 bet); SPIRIT OF HEAVEN ($5+ available raceday); BAGMAN (easy watch!) and led punters into a huge quinella, GOOD VALUE and LORD OF BRAZIL.

 

He also made good cases for STAR ROLLING, SENSUALISM (big odds) and NOSTRADAMUS…

 

Plus a heap of quinella’s & trifecta’s…

 

Get On board this Spring!!

SUMMARY OF LAST WEEK:
Racing was at CAULFIELD on Saturday on DEAD-4 track with the Rail 3m. The was no mad/pattern bias evident although not many swung wide and stormed home on the day.
RUN OF THE DAY:
With honourable mentions going to ARE THERE ANY and SABATINI, the nod this week goes to SPILLWAY who made a top return in the Lawrence Stks to just miss, you could argue strongly he was a touch unlucky too win as he had to ease over the leaders heels when, ideally, they would have wanted full momentum, either way, the run was terrific at an unsuitable trip, off a modest tempo.
Speaking of tempo, the leader ZAMORAR ran a 49.03 1st-800m (not quick for this class of horse) with winner STAR ROLLING up second, the winner was keen early then settled better, he took over and was just able to last, his return was obviously terrific also, he has always promised plenty and may well take the next step this prep. GIG was a sound 4th, she is super genuine. FORETELLER doesn’t win fresh anymore (now 8yo) but always runs well, his 11.75 last 200m was the race-fastest, 3/100ths of a second quicker than that of SPILLWAY. PUISSANCE DE LUNE was caught wide and held his ground well given that, he made the Forgive File. BRAMBLES did not quicken but hit the wire quite well, his last 200m split was 11.86. Overall time: 1-24.37
Regal Roller Stks was Race 5 and HARD STRIDE jumped better today and led them up at a moderate 35.44 1st-600m, both 3yo races were quicker early, he gave a big kick and won well. Race was a bit ”odd” though, runner-up MOMENT OF CHANGE did well given his 62kg but most other key hopes lost ground coming wide on the turn just as the leader/winner was going away. CLUB COMMAND (best late split 11.69) and THIAMANDI (was on the back of the winner!!) the most noteworthy. Lovely return here from DESERT JEUNEY who made nice ground despite the slow tempo and he did not have a ton of room late, his last 400/200m were 22.65/ 11.7 and he looks to have come back very well. Overall time: 1-9.7 for the 1200m.
Race 6 was the Quezette Stks for Fillies and SABATINI was impressive, she really was the only winner all day to come from last/widest and she ran over a fit, in-form (and well-backed) ROYAL SNITZEL who was also very good, she certainly had no soft run on-speed (although 35.31 1st-600m was .4 slower than the boys’ dividion), she absorbed that pressure and kicked strongly but was grabbed late. NOVEL DANCER sat deep on-speed (one turn Caulfield sprints but still, her run was good fresh), she was just no match the last 200m but beat 4th ok, that 4th was LONDON LOLLY who did not quicken but warmed up late, she may need further and/or gear change? KALABEK worked home ok, only winner had a faster last 400m, the difference though was her 23.38 compared to winner’s 22.78. Overall time: 1-4.26
Race 7 was the boy’s turn and the Vain Stks. NORDIC EMPIRE and BOOMWAA shared the speed and gave each other little peace, they went 34.91 1st-600m (.4 faster than girls early) and winner ran 1-3.88 (.38 faster overall) so little between the two divisions ”ratings-wise” for mine. Winner GET THE NOD sat off the solid speed, with no cover, and quickly joined said leaders straightening, and won well !! STINGRAY was just off the winner on the turn but missed the run at a key stage, he did lose some momentum but was quickly clear then closed strongly, he looked a touch unlucky but best horse won. Liked the return of ZULULAND who was building nicely when checked off heels 75m out, he went through the line strong! JABALI was OK, he could have done with more room but yeah, just OK.
GREGERS won the last very softly! She found the lead and set a 36.24 1st-600m, looking at that in the context of the day, Royal Snitzel (filly) in Quezette would have been leading her around 5L with 500m to run, anyway, she was classes above and sprinted clear clocking 11.34 last 200m (fastest all day). Her overall time was 1-4.43 for 1100m. MEMBERS JOY was terrific fresh off that slow speed and home 11.39. FIVE ALL had no hope from the back but her last split of 11.40 was slick and she went through the line very well.
Better touch on ARE THERE ANY who was 1st-up, raced wide and made a move before the turn, she was only beaten late and is in for a good prep. Stablemate SPIRIT OF HEAVEN impressed in Race 1 given it was her first go 1600m, suspect she can go on despite the fact she had 51kg and sat up on a 50.27 1st-800m.
THE FORGIVE FILE:
EMMOOKI’S STAR (covered stack of ground), KINDERGARDEN KID (worked hard early), FELIDEA (start was no help), RED CORNER (too wide), PILLAR OF CREATION (got off rail but found only traffic), DOWN THE HATCH (in traffic straightening/ did hit line!), EMPRESS O’REILLY (found trouble key stage), LEXGETREDDY (still not clear!), JUST FOR STARTERS (blew start but did little) and PUISSANCE DE LUNE (wide no cover).
In Sydney we were at ROSEHILL on a GOOD track with Rail 3m, the predicted rain never came! No leader’s won on the day and there was certainly no issue running on if the tempo was there, most avoided the inside rail in the straight.
RUN OF THE DAY:
Podium finishes go to NOSTRADAMUS and BEST CASE but first prize goes to HOOKED who was off-midfield (in on-pace dominated race) early then crept closer turning before getting to the middle and loved his burst of speed when asked, suspect he peaked late but still ran 4th in a race where 1st, 2nd, 3rd, 5th all were right on the speed.
The winner was the well-backed ENTIRELY PLATINUM (early shoppers found $3.8!!) coming off a brilliant trial, he was wide early, got in, travelled-up sweetly and won well, doubt he will ever be the horse that wins by panels, he seems to do ”’just enough”. MIGHTY LUCKY (sat 2nd) and GREATWOOD (led/ battled hard 1st-up off that good trial) ran the placings. HONORIUS was OK, there was no money for him today (unlike last year when $8-to-$4.8 – when he won it!) but he did enough. Lovely return here from LUCKY CHAPPY (limited room 200m/ hit line nice) and BEST CASE flashed late from a mile back, his 11.04 last 200m was the fastest all day and his 400m-to-200m split was 10.8… Nice! Pass mark for OPINION also (home 11.16), for the record, HOOKED was 10.76/ 11.26 (400-to-200m/ 200m-to-home). Overall time: 1-24.28 for 1400m.
To these smart 3yo’s in Race 5 and winner NOSTRADAMUS impressed, he jumped well, he sat off a strong speed (34.88 1st-600m) and faced the breeze then was strong to the line beating WASHINGTON HEIGHTS who made good ground inside, got the split and hit line hard, 3rd-horse LAW went way back and made up serious ground but winner held him, worth noting LAW’s 33.3 last 600m was race-fastest yet winner NOSTRADAMUS had the quickest last 200m, he ran an 11.4 last 200m. Their overall time was a slick 1-3.63 and a new race record !
Race 4 had plenty of interest and winner TERRITORY was ridden colder (that is his go!) then weaved through and stormed late to grab SKIP TOWN who did not walk up front and was grabbed as he straightening yet fought them off to hold second, very genuine horse. WOULDN’T IT BE NICE ran home hard down the middle and yep, EARNEST ERNEST had the fastest late split, 11.2 but, that’s him! DREAM CHOICE was sound fresh and fancy SCANDIVA will be fitter. Time: 1-10.42
Race 7 was a mostly dominated by those close to the speed, BECKON caused the upset but he had the good run and travelled well into the race, he just had the better of MAROON BAY who did improve the ”Sydney way” and maybe she was not in the A-ground closer to the inside rail? MASTERSTROKE closed well and didn’t have ton of room late. LYRIC kept finding the line. SPY DECODER was the pick of the closers, he made up good ground and broke 34-secs clearly for the last 600m, he had an 11.72 last 200m also (race-fastest). They ran 1-3.9 here off a 29.5 1st-500m split.
In the last the rain stayed away for BLACK REVOLVER and he finally delivered, and he won well from off-midfield as he was asked to sustain a decent run. THE ALFONSO was solid, he just found one better! LUCKY LUCKY LUCKY made a nice return, went through line quite well. HUNTER JACK was sound, he probably wanted the rain to come. GRAND MARSHAL was noteworthy here too, he made up very good ground and broke 12-secs for the last 200m, one of only three in the race to do so.
THE FORGIVE FILE:
MISS VENUS (galloped on), BRING A RING (wide), EVANGELIST (given no peace), DISCLAIMER (needs softer run), MULTILATERAL (tail and went wide), WEINHOLT (tardy then sat deep), CANNY BALLAD (wide), WORLDLY IMPACT (back/wide on-pace race), FORT SUMTER (4-wide no cover), MORAL VICTORY (bad start hurt), IMPULSIVE SPIRIT (too wide) and DOWDSTOWN CHARLIE (too dry/ too wide).
=============================================================================
WEDNESDAY SELECTIONS:
SANDOWN (Hillside)
Top-rated runners:
Race 1 – BM84 – 1000m
  1. 3 – BIG BEAR ROCK –
  2. 9 – HERENOA –
  3. 5 – TURQUIOSE KING –
  4. 2 – NICHOLLS COURT –
  5. 1 – PLANET VOYAGE –
Race 2 – 3YO BM70 – 1400m
  1. 2 – STITCH ME UP –
  2. 1 – LOTION –
  3. 3 – WAR POINT –
  4. 7 – SAMARTESTED –
  5. 8 – CINNAMON CARTER –
Race 3 – Maiden – 1600m
  1. 13 – HEAVY –
  2. 1 – BARBARESCO –
  3. 18 – OUT OF GRANGE –
  4. 15 – O’FENNESSY –
  5. 7 – TOPOGRAPHY –
Race 4 – BM78 – 1000m
  1. 8 – CATHERINE LOUISE –
  2. 9 – TREASURY –
  3. 5 – TRUFFLE –
  4. 4 – AWASITA –
  5. 1 – TESTANOVA –
Race 5 – BM70 – 2400m
  1. 1 – CONTACT –
  2. 5 – HOUSE OF STARS –
  3. 7 – LA BELLA MOME –
  4. 3 – LACONIC LAD –
  5. 8 – FIRE TRUCK –
Race 6 – F&M BM84 – 1400m
  1. 10 – PADDY’S GEM –
  2. 7 – CRITICAL ANGEL –
  3. 4 – CELERITAS –
  4. 1 – ANGELIC LASS –
  5. 8 – COCKELBIDDY –
Race 7 – BM78 – 1400m
  1. 8 – MAHICAN –
  2. 12 – IMAGING –
  3. 14 – SARALAGO –
  4. 4 – OLTRE FINITO –
  5. 6 – TADDEI TONDO –
Race 8 – BM78 – 1800m
  1. 12 – BONO VOX –
  2. 3 – VIZHAKA –
  3. 6 – NORDIC DUKE –
  4. 14 GIDDYUP KIRKY –
  5. 18 – ELWAAYAA –
Good luck !
Gator
:)

16/8/14 – G1 email

Author: Gator
PLEASE NOTE:
All ratings for CAULFIELD are for DEAD track. Rail is 3m. Last meeting here was True rail 26/7 and track played OK, perhaps late in the day the inside was ”off” a little. Expecting no mad pattern/bias today but always watch/monitor.
In Sydney we are at ROSEHILL. Ratings are for DEAD track however, the bureau are predicting ”90% chance of 10-20mls of rain”, the catch is, when does it come? As I type this they are saying afternoon/evening so… There is some guesswork. Rail is 3m. Was True two weeks back and track played very well, they were winning from everywhere, great stuff !!
BET OF THE DAY (Melb)
CAULFIELD – Race 9 No.2 – GREGERS – Resumes. Went super in trial/jump out. Fresh last prep she was less than 2L off Lankan Rupee in a high-rating G1 Oakleigh Plate. Claims to 58kg and gets good run. No wins last prep but she is simply better than mares grade!
BET OF THE DAY (Syd)
ROSEHILL – Race 6 No.5 – ENTIRELY PLATINUM – Resumes. Sat deep and was too strong for Messene in excellent trial win. Big win 59kg on wet fresh last prep then measured up to stakes grade very well. Top-pick.
BEST VALUE BET OF THE DAY
ROSEHILL – Race 1 No.3 – BLAZING DRAGON – Did enough fresh then love the way she found the line 2nd-up to 1500m latest, now to 1900m back against own sex in a race where there is speed… Keen to back her and at $8 she is ”overs”…
BEST EACH-WAY BET OF THE DAY
CAULFIELD – Race 7 No.5 – JABALI - Resumes. Terrific in recent trial/jump out. Chased Rubick, then Earthquake early last prep. Fancy was ”over the top” by the time they got to Sydney. Maiden but happy to back him here.
BEST ROUGHIE OF THE DAY
ROSEHILL – Race 8 No.8 – HUNTER JACK – Luckless fresh then did hit line when race was over, he didn’t have clearest run last week and was not far off As Needed in course record time. Yes 1500m, wet non-issue and amazed he has come up $31. Great roughie.
Lay Of The Day:
CAULFIELD – Race 5 No.1 – MOMENT OF CHANGE – Big ask 62kg. Can see him running well, without winning… Probably same with Lord Durante ($2.35????)… We’ll see….
TOP-RATED RUNNERS:
CAULFIELD
Race 1 – F&M BM90 – 1600m
  1. 5 – SPIRIT OF HEAVEN – Terrific return against the bias then two tough wins. Step to mile looks ok, suspect she measures up against these older mares with no weight taking line through her early 3yo form with Marianne Etc.
  2. 2 – ATLANTIS DREAM – Seven runs this prep, worst finish is 2nd! Chased hard last time beating all-bar in-form Jessy Belle giving her weight. Claims down. Won’t run poorly!
  3. 4 – ACAPELA – Good/Sound 3rd last time behind Atlantis Dream/ Jessy Belle, these three got away on rest of the field, has little .5kg swing on Atlantis Dream and is 5th-up whilst she is 8th-up.
  4. 6 – TO BE HONEST – Just could not catch Dare I Ask latest who got away with 53-second 1st-840m, she comes through hot form race prior, has a win over Nautical and that girl would be near fave here.
  5. 1 – LADY MELKSHAM – May need heavy to turn tables on a few here but you could argue, closest to inside rail was not the best ground MV latest.
Race 2 – Hcp – 2000m
  1. 1 – BAGMAN – Left alone with 60kg at top of the weights but he may be too good for them again here, he has exceptional finishing speed, in fact his 11.64 last 200m MV latest (at the end of 2040m) was clearly the fastest all day. Top-pick.
  2. 5 – DE FINE LAGO – Jumped in trip 2nd-up and ran home OK given slow speed, he was 2.6L off Bagman on the line and is surely fitter (meets him 1kg worse). Note, he has a good 3rd-up pattern to him.
  3. 6 – LORD DURANTE – Led (own way) and won last time, beating Bagman into 3rd, he then (of course) won well. First go 2000m here which is the unknown and he is length better wet but must have a case.
  4. 8 – REGALITI – Gets the gun run here on my map and may be the one at odds. Gets away from heavy ground. Had pressure up front two-back and was not far off Reckless Assassin who then won well again.
  5. 3 – UNCHAIN MY HEART – Nice late splits fresh at 1600m. Fitter and much better suited 2000m but her recent wins are over further. Does not want rain. Chance.
Race 3 – Hcp – 1600m
  1. 1 – LORD OF BRAZIL – Love the way he went through the line at Flemington in on-pace dominated race (clear fastest closing split, 11.88) and is desperate for 1600m. Best form these days is away from very wet tracks too. Ready?
  2. 5 – GOOD VALUE – Also hit wire in that same on-pace race (home 12.07) and was 2nd-up off a long break, now gets to mile, 3rd-up, with weight advantage on Lord Of Brazil, and note he won well 3rd-up last prep before beating Galah!
  3. 4 – FULGUR – His best recent form is at 1600m and he strikes a winnable race. Good from too far back behind The Cleaner last time. Can win.
  4. 8 – FELIDEA – Ran on against the slow tempo latest and his one go at 1600m, was a win, down in weights and chance.
  5. 9 – DIGITALISM – Liked him last time in restricted grade and just lasted beating Count Encosta who has certainly franked that form. Plummets in weight and in below limit after claim so can measure up.
Race 4 – BM90 – 1400m
  1. 11 – INFINITE ENERGY – Terrific win/finale Geelong in $50k BM84, they ran time, runner-up Cross Of Gold ran well in one of these restricted races last week. He has good form here and the confidence may be back? Value hope.
  2. 12 – CHARMED HARMONY – Must forgive last run. Brilliant winner prior and like him back at 1400m with jar out of track in any case. Will look the winner turning and with no weight, can certainly win.
  3. 14 – AVERAU – Resumes. trialled just OK but was not knocked about. Should have won here in 0-78 class fresh last prep. Has a touch of quality.
  4. 3 – RUGGED CROSS – Can mix his form but good here last time off that slow speed, he beat Bagman who then won very well. Drops sharply to 1400m.
  5. 9 – ARE THERE ANY – Resumes. Won 2 of 3 fresh and the miss was up the Straight. Was not knocked about herself in recent trials. Up to these.
Race 5 – Listed Regal Roller Stks – 1200m

 

  1. 4 – CLUB COMMAND – Resumes. Good fresh horse. Sat wide no cover yet went down narrow 3rd to Velrosso/ Phelan Ready in MM Cup on Gold Coast fresh last prep. Taking line through Speediness and previous prep, he can win.
  2. 2 – PILLAR OF CREATION – Kept fresh suits. Quite well weighted this scale given his rating is much higher than a few on the 54kg mark. Recent 1200m form around Le Bonsir and Co. reads well and gets good smother gate 1.
  3. 3 – THIAMANDI – Took sit last time and sailed straight by them in terrific win, that was her first go at 1200m, and it was at WFA! Prior to that she beat two subsequent City winners in her two wins.
  4. 1 – MOMENT OF CHANGE – Resumes. Is the class and proven G1 performer. Loves it here at 1400m and trialled well. The 62kg is the obvious query.
Race 6 – G3 Quezette Stks – 3yoF – 1100m
  1. 1 – LONDON LOLLY – Resumes. Two wins before the spell were terrific and the form was well franked in Sydney through Bring Me The Maid (in Slipper) and Go Indy Go (big G1 win!). Liked her recent trial/jump out. Stable have them ready fresh.
  2. 10 – KALABEK – Resumes. Bakced into odds-on at her debut and impressed then had a most forgetful day at Doomben. Spelled. Has come on? Talented.
  3. 3 – ROYAL SNITZEL – She is the match-fit, in-form girl and track spies tell me she was the star worker here midweek. Proven with jar out. Should be right on speed. Looks certain to run well.
  4. 2 – SUNSET ROCK – Resumes. Trialled well in S.A. but stablemate Get The Nod ran by her, she beat 3rd (another handy one) clearly. She easily beat Go Indy Go before spell so that ties in strongly with top-rater here…
  5. 8 – TOP DOLLY – Resumes. Huge tip on debut and ran well to Oakleigh Girl. Had issues last prep. Went very well in recent jump out. Wary.
  6. 7 – NOVEL DANCER – Resumes. Two starts, two impressive wins and spelled… Another who may well measure up. Not easy.
Race 7 – G3 Vain Stks – 3yo C&G – 1100m
  1. 5 – JABALI – Resumes. Terrific in recent trial/jump out. Chased Rubick, then Earthquake early last prep. Fancy was ”over the top” by the time they got to Sydney. Maiden but happy to back him here.
  2. 10 – JUST FOR STARTERS – Was $9-to-$5.5 MV latest but had tough run (back/wide/ went forward long way out) and stuck to the task very well. Has real upside still.
  3. 6 – NORDIC EMPIRE – Trialled very well then won well (had good run but was strong) fresh beating many rivals here and had 58kg so meets a few better at the weights today. Gate 1. Go well.
  4. 2 – BOOMWAA – Forced wide on turn fresh MV and kept closing, winner Nordic Empire saved the ground, meets him 3.5kg worse now but form in first prep around top-shelf is hard to ignore. Has a case too.
  5. 4 – CORNROW – Resumes. Was backed when good 2nd to Mahve in Diamond lead-up then was right behind Jabali the G1 Blue Diamond. Missed a trial and may be ”half a run short” but has the quality.
Race 8 – G2 Lawrence Stks – WFA – 1400m
  1. 2 – PUISSANCE DE LUNE – Resumes. Won this last year from the tail (leaders ran 48.6 1st-800m that day), doubt they go any harder here and he is off an injury this time but if this stable can win with Count Encosta and Aliyana 1st-up, fancy they can do it with a G1 class horse!
  2. 5 – LIDARI – Resumes. Was back/wide in G1 Futurity fresh last prep and ran well given that. Previous two fresh runs were excellent. Can reel off a terrific split himself and will have head start on the fave here.
  3. 6 – ZAMORAR – Good chase/win fresh then challenged G1 horse Tiger Tees last week but was just no match late. His one go 1400m was in this race in 2012 when second to Second Effort, who placed behind PDL in it last year. So there you go.
  4. 8 – STAR ROLLING – Resumes. Talented galloper beaten 3L in Barton Stks this track/trip fresh last prep. Luckless fresh prior at 1200m. Measured up well WFA behind Fiorente in last campaign.
  5. 10 – GIG – Fit, super honest and may sit up closer here. 1400m is her trip, has some WFA form. Maybe…?
  6. 1 – FORETELLER – Resumes. Hit line late in nice trial Sydney. His fresh wins were in his younger day but he too can produce a ripping sectional late.
Race 9 – Mares Hcp – 1100m
  1. 2 – GREGERS – Resumes. Went super in trial/jump out. Fresh last prep she was less than 2L off Lankan Rupee in a high-rating G1 Oakleigh Plate. Claims to 58kg and gets good run. No wins last prep but she is simply better than mares grade!
  2. 3 – YOU’RE SO GOOD – Resumes. Chased Angel’s Beach fresh last prep (winner backed heavy) giving her 3.5kg. Then chased G1 horse Riziz. Jumped-out quite well herself.
  3. 7 – BLOOMINGDALE MISS – Real black-booker fresh against the track bias then well-backed, overcame trouble, and won well here last time. Back to 1100m up a notch in class are queries but is in this.
  4. 8 – MEMBERS JOY – Resumes. Found trouble and was terrific fresh last prep at 1000m. The 1100m suits better. Trialled quite well herself. Chance.
  5. 11 – MEZERAY MISS – Kept fresh since sound return, that form has been super. Did win stakes race before spell.
  6. 5 – DANESTROEM – Resumes. Yet to miss top-3 fresh. Sat deep and too good for them in BM70 grade latest fresh run. In 52kg and likes jar out of track.
ROSEHILL
Race 1 – F&M BM80 – 1900m
  1. 3 – BLAZING DRAGON – Did enough fresh then love the way she found the line 2nd-up to 1500m latest, now to 1900m back against own sex in a race where there is speed… Keen to back her.
  2. 5 – SCARLETINI – Found line super behind Forever Crazy two-back when 2nd-up off 65-weeks, now meets her 2.5kg better, doubt was suited staying at 1600m last time, she warmed up late, yes 1900m! Ready? Danger.
  3. 1 – FOREVER CRAZY – Top win Randwick then good risk back at 1400m last time (was on-pace race too). She has won twice at 1800m and run well 2000m so no issue this trip. Big weight but winning hope.
  4. 4 – ZAZPARELLA – Brings different formline, she split Reckless Assassin (off a big win) and Anfitriona (off a big win) Flemington last week when back at her right trip. Prospect of rain will not bother her. Very genuine girl.
  5. 10 – SENTA HELGA – Sound return then just no match for darci’s Affair 2nd-up but down in weights 3rd-up, to 1900m are pluses… Can measure up.
Race 2 – F&M BM75 – 1400m
  1. 4 – BRING A RING – Went well fresh behind speedy male in fast time with 57kg then wasn’t far away Flemington when closest to slower inside lanes. Was 1L 4th to Moderate at this trip 3rd-up last prep. Is a winner here, at 1400m.
  2. 8 – ALL SALSA – Soft maiden win fresh then straight to NMW race in town and won just as easily, aggregate margin, 5.5L. Looks like she will eat 1400m. How good??
  3. 6 – UNIMPEACHABLE – Found line sweetly fresh WFM. Fitter/Further are big ticks. She ran very well in Mona Lisa Wyong 2nd-up last prep from back and wide. Stuck on one win.
  4. 12 – SENSUALISM – Nice finish to beat Maluti 2nd-up then wide and stuck on super last time! Back to 1400m looks ok. Handled wet Ok early doors. Chance.
  5. 1 – MISSVONN – Resumes. No trial. Nice finale fresh last prep behind Superstition then impressed 2nd-up before measuring up against G1 fillies. Wary.
  6. 5 – REPLY CHURLISH – Likely leader and the other with claims.
Race 3 – Hcp – 1800m
  1. 10 – REIGNING – Total forgive run 3rd-up (off two very good runs) then did well to score Kenso (was backed) beating Black Jag (flying) and Laidback Larry (then won beating key rivals here). Wet ground a plus.
  2. 8 – MULTILATERAL – Went back to get cover and forced to make run with no trail last time, thought he was very good, winner Laidback Larry led them and that form ties in. Unproven wet.
  3. 1 – BONFIRE – Resumes. Slow out in trial, went forward wide and stuck to task very well, liked the trial. First Oz start here. Stakes winner in homeland at 2100m. Want on-side.
  4. 11 – EVANGELIST – Backed $15-to-$11 fresh and just held off subsequent winner Moral Victory, it was hist first Oz start. On home record 1800m suits much better.
  5. 7 – BLACK JAG – Brave seconds last two and split Reigning/ Laidback Larry latest so… cannot leave out!
Race 4 – BM90 – 1200m
  1. 8 – DREAM CHOICE – Good on-pace in trial. Failed fresh last prep then blossomed, had a win over Shelford and ran second to Kencella in fast time. Tough race this.
  2. 5 – SKIP TOWN – Back to 1200m last time (all his wins are at 1200m) and backed heavy but caught 3-wide no cover (from gate 5!), he never shirked it (ran well) and draws in. Good hope.
  3. 3 – TRAITOR – Resumes. No trial. I am a big fan but 59kg for new season 4yo is no picnic. He was good, but beaten, in maiden fresh last prep before going on to Group win at 1500m. Never seen wet.
  4. 12 – WOULDN’T IT BE NICE – Flying! Strong finish last time reeling off some impressive (fasetst) splits and quinella Rock Sturdy/ Lorna May are smart. Back to 1200m only query I have…
  5. 11 – WEINHOLT – Another talented 4yo but he too comes back to 1200m which may not be ideal. Is in Ok weights on his Long John formlines.
  6. 2 – TERRITORY – Key hope if here, not Melb.
Race 5 – San Domenico Stks – 3YO – 1100m
  1. 6 – WASHINGTON HEIGHTS – Resumes. Blundered start in trial then rocketed to the line under no riding, excellent trial. Loved his debut in Kindergarden Stks from the back (was backed too) on wet. Will get further but looks serious talent.
  2. 9 – YGRITTE – Resumes. No trials. Ran time in maiden debut win then was within 1L of Mossfun. Very good at Flemington after that when left sitting duck! No trials found.
  3. 3 – NOSTRADAMUS – Resumes. Speed/Won trial just from Bring me The Maid. Debut win was smart before Rubick 4th in Diamond lead-up.
  4. 2 – BUGATTY – Flopped on wet fresh. Since trialled very well (was ridden) in fast time. Risking if rain comes but a hope on better than heavy…
  5. 1 – LAW – Resumes. Beaten for speed in Bugatty trial but closed, went well, he won easily fresh last prep then wasn’t bad behind Mossfun.
Race 6 – Hcp – 1400m
  1. 5 – ENTIRELY PLATINUM – Resumes. Sat deep and was too strong for Messene in excellent trial win. Big win 59kg on wet fresh last prep then measured up to stakes grade very well. Top-pick.
  2. 4 – COUP AY TEE – Found strife key stage last time and may well have tested the winner, when he finds form he holds it, wetter ground no issue.
  3. 16 – GREATWOOD – Resumes. Pace/Gallant/Good trial. First Oz start here. Has good fresh form at home. One run wet at home was only stakes placing. Huge watch.
  4. 1 – HONORIUS – Resumes. Went nicely in trial too. Good 2nd to Tromso fresh in May (here) and won this race brilliantly fresh-up last year when $8-to-$4.8…. Goes in everything!
  5. 13 – TOUGHER THAN EVER – Looking for wet ground and fancy can improve at odds if rain comes here off solid trial, and a forgive run…
Race 7 – BM75 – 1100m
  1. 3 – LYRIC – Luckless key stage fresh then went back to (slower) inside lanes and really went through the line. He was backed off the map and won 2nd-up last prep then won in town. Doubt wants it too wet, suspect they scratch anyway if rain arrives.
  2. 12 – WORLDLY IMPACT – Was strong late in that same race and he too found strife (baulked) key stage and should’ve finished closer. Draws out so pattern late in day a key, never seen wet.
  3. 13 – RUNWAY STAR – That was the real Runway Star winning here fresh setting a strong speed and kicking off it! Doubt back 100m is any query. May well go on now…
  4. 6 – SUPERSTITION – Resumes. Led clearly in trial and kept going too well, there was a gap to 3rd. Forgive the fresh miss last prep, he then won well 2nd-up. In this!
  5. 8 – MASTERSTROKE – Good return in same race as top two-raters in run-ons race, handles wet. Has gate 1 (pattern) and may want touch further now so shuffled down to 5th.
Race 8 – BM80 – 1500m
  1. 8 – HUNTER JACK – Luckless fresh then did hit line when race was over, he didn’t have clearest run last week and was not far off As Needed in course record time. Yes 1500m, wet non-issue and amazed he has come up $31. Great roughie.
  2. 1 – PROJECTILE – Resumes. Brilliant 10L trial win. Failed here fresh last prep but took a sit and improved midrace, wrong recipe. He then won (leading!) 2nd-up at odds.
  3. 13 – DOWDSTOWN CHARLIE – Just OK last time, others were better but he found the line, big tick today is the forecast rain, he grows a leg on wet ground. Chance dry but serious chance wet! Check track.
  4. 4 – CORRYVRECKAN – Super honest. The mile just found him out last time. Backs-up and drops to 1500m (big plus!) and proven wet… races handy… Has a good case.
  5. 16 – LUCKY LUCKY LUCKY – Very nice return run. Was not far off Entirely Platinum 2nd-up last prep. In 54kg and has a case too.
  6. 11 – BLACK REVOLVER – Can win dry. Laying if wet.. Simple.
  7. 6 – MORAL VICTORY – Backed/Won Ok last time but more pressure here? Still a hope.
Good luck !
Gator
:)

Two BEST BETS win!!

Author: Gator

Gator kicks off 2014 Spring brilliantly, at the time our G1 email went out, his Bet Of The Day in Melb GREGERS was $3; his Bet Of The Day in Syd ENTIRELY PLATINUM was $3.5… They both won easily at MUCH shorter quotes on raceday!

 

Gator had plenty of other winners too: INFINITE ENERGY ($9 bet); SPIRIT OF HEAVEN ($5+ available raceday); BAGMAN (easy watch!) and led punters into a huge quinella, GOOD VALUE and LORD OF BRAZIL.

 

He also made good cases for STAR ROLLING, SENSUALISM (big odds) and NOSTRADAMUS…

 

Plus a heap of quinella’s & trifecta’s…

 

Get On board this Spring!!

Email/ Feedback: gators@ozracingform.com
SUMMARY OF LAST WEEK:
Racing was at FLEMINGTON on Saturday with the rail 10m. Track was GOOD. There was no mad pattern/bias however certainly most avoided the inside lanes in the home straight as the day wore on. Slight headwind too which had an impact on early splits obviously.
Run Of The Day:
With honorable mentions this week going to FONTEIN RUBY and TEXT ‘N HURLEY I am giving the nod to KENJORWOOD who won Race 2 clearly despite being left in front a long way out off a hot speed, he held off one who is flying and they spaced the rest, he can go on!
His (KENJORWOOD’s) overall time of 2-02.52 was good and set-up by a fast tempo, leader MADAM NASH went through her 1st-1400m in 1-14.04, to put that into perspective on the day, she would have been leading Royal Amati (who led the other 200m race) by some 18L with 800m to travel. yes winner had no weight (51kg) but was strong/impressive. Runner-up COUNT ENCOSTA was terrific, again he was the only horse to break 24-secs his last 400m and as stated, he spaced 3rd, ECLAIR SAMBA who was found out a touch with said strong speed, he was under pressure a long way out, but was honest. SURPASS is ready to win on wetter ground.
The feature was R7 the Aurie’s Star and TIGER TEES was too classy and too tough for them even on the dry! He had some company up front and was challenged strongly by ZAMORAR with 300m to go but shook him off then held off the fast finish of MR CHARD who hit the line 11.82 his last 200m, only one horse went faster late, TEXT ‘N HURLEY who made a lovely, lovely return, she was always ridden along (run off her legs) but so strong through the line, her last 200m split was 11.69. SINO EAGLE measured up OK and SMACKDOWN was honest for touch easier. ROAD TRIPPIN did enough too, home 12:03 last 200m. Overall time: 1-9.86 was in fact .09 slower than the BM78 off a similar early split, add to that CREAMARY LANE was only beaten 3L so I have some concerns on the form…???
Race 4 held a lot of interest for 3YO’s and the winner, was the only filly in the race in FONTEIN RUBY and she did it with 58kg giving weight to (some) males so no knock at all, also, she did it coming from off the speed in a race where leader’s ran a slo-o-ow 51.75 1st-810m, she was niggled a way out (she will run evern further) and was headed by CORAM but too good for him. CORAM followed the winner and headed her so was every chance relative to the winner, still very sound though! BELUGA CAVIAR sat 2nd and was game, it was a busy race/finish. RAPOSO probably should have beaten them all, his hard luck tale was tough to miss… and tougher to watch if you were on! Time: 1-26.19 was slow however, that early split was ”a walk”.
Back to Race 6 and EXIMIUS was the best backed runner all day and impressed, he sat off a 49.72 1st-810m and ran 1-24.52 overall. They also specked CORREGGIO fresh-up and he ran very well also, he was not flash away then made nice ground inside before looming a bit, winner kept going far too well but this guy beat 3rd 2.25L. That 3rd-horse was SUPREME WARRIOR (every hope) and JACQUINOT BAY ran home into 4th, he was sound 1st-up. LOOT ‘N’ RUN was OK for wetter. UNDER THE SUN was given life 9-months ago.
ALIYANA impressed in Race 8 1st-up and first run for that man, D.K Weir. Given a lovely ride she showed her class late and beat WHISTLE BABY who was much better (albeit off a string of forgivable runs) and PINDAN PEARL who has come back well this prep. She travelled strongly and might be ready. NADEEM LASS was wide all the way and ran well given that, these four had 2.5L to spare over the rest. Of the others DANISH WHISKEY had OK late splits and not sacking her yet. Time: 1-24.99 for 1410m off a 49.83 1st-810m. Times relative to Eximius race were OK.
In the last ZEVADA was too strong, too tough for PRIZUM (loomed/ just cannot win one) and AMOVATIO (the end of 1720m found him out I fancy) and these three spaced VIZHAKA (should have finished touch closer) into 4th by 7L. Winner won 4th-up last prep off a 3rd-up win. Time was 1-45.71
THE FORGIVE FILE: DARLIMURLA STAR (saddle slipped), COMPOUND (wide), SPIRITED WILL (little luck then went inside lanes and worst ground), RAPOSO (probably should have won!), CLEVADUDE (building momentum when found strife, lame post-race), FREE OF DOUBT (lame), SHANGHAI WARRIOR (lame), WINTA CHILLER (poor recovery/ mucus found), NADEEM LASS (wide), WROTHAM HEATH (worked early/ pressured too soon & vetted: mucus found) and SHADOW NINJA (jarred up).
In Sydney racing was at RANDWICK and track was GOOD, rail was 6m. There were some fast times on the day. Most avoided being hard on the inside rail in the home straight.
Run Of The Day:
Honorable mentions go to BOBAN and BETTER LAND but have to go with AS NEEDED who resumed a strong winner and broke the Randwick 1300m track record by .90 running a 1-15.43 off a solid 35.39 1st-600m.
… He was well backed and far too good, he will get further too. Brilliant return! SOCIETY MAN led and held second and YOU’LL NEVER charged late, his 11.32 last 200m was the fastest all day. he is still flying! HUNTER JACK is ready to win something easier and may be silly odds so watch him.
Two feature races, we will start with Missile Stks Race 6 and SWEET IDEA showed she has real courage to go with her class, she led in 35.16 1st-600m and was joined by MESSENE on her inside but really wanted the win! MESSENE measured up well WFA and REBEL DANE, well, he didn’t quicken then was strong late, marked him solid with every chance. BOBAN was enormous after missing the kick then had no real momentum early in straight before launching late, his 11.4 last 200m was race-fastest. WEARY (home 11.58) pleased also, as did KIRRAMOSA (run ended late) and HAWKSPUR (stayed inside lanes – doubt A-ground but held his ground!). Time: 1-9.44
The other feature was Race 5 The Rosebud and SCISSOR KICK had a good run and was bit too strong, it was a real blanet finish with 1.5L only over the first six of them. Runner-up BETTER LAND sat wide no cover yet still surged late, his return was excellent. INKLING given 59kg (but with match fitness) hit the lead and toughed it out. SARAJEVO, well, he made the ”forgive file” and HERO I AM went through the wire nicely, his last 200m was 11.98 and race-fastest. BETTER LAND was 12.06 home and winner/Sarajevo shared a 12.08 split. Time: 1-9.78 off 34.44 1st-600m, so quicker early then slower overall than older WFA horses but that is fair enough.
Race 7 saw TARGET IN SIGHT return a winner, he sat back off a fast speed (33.56 1st-600m) and tracked fave RIFLEMAN everywhere before running over him, he had never been at 1000m but had too much quality, his last 200m was 11.34 (so 2/100ths off day’s fastest) despite that hot speed. Excellent return. Runner-up lost no friends, RIFLEMAN, winner just had last crack! MOUNT NEBO was solid and REFLECTANCE had no lcuk key stage and may well have tested the quinella. MOUNTAIN VIEW warmed up nicely late, his last 200m was 11.50.
In the last I’VE GOT THE LOOKS overcame trouble and 59kg to grab OH SO ADORABLE right on the line, all honours winner, runner-up was only 1st-up and was terrific. MISS PROMISCUITY measured up well, she stayed closer to the inside too. JACINTA was wide and held on well, mostly on-pace race was the last. Early split was 34.94 1st-600m and overall time: 1-9.74.
THE FORGIVE FILE:
LUCKY LIAISON (midrace move), ROCK HERO (respiratory noise), WILD AND PROUD (no luck key stage), SILOVITZ (stopped in tracks!), SARAJEVO (needed more room), NAYELI (respiratoy issue), BOLD CIRCLE (back/wide/pulled), BOBAN (as mentioned), MAYSOON (limited room/ galloped on), TEXAN LAD (given no peace), JACINTA (wide no cover), GOLD EPONA (raced tight/ on-pace race) and ALL CERISE (slow out/ went wide/ on-pace race).
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Nice kick-off into the the new season from the ”best in the business” David “Gator” Gately who made DIGITALISM his Bet Of The Day at MV last week…. It paid $6.5 Top-fluc…

 

As one subscriber put it: “No-one else makes anything over even money their best… Thanks Gator, Great work!”

 

Get on board this Spring at Ozracingform.com G1 email(s) out MONDAY (Summary/ Forgive File) and Thursday (full Saturday selections Melb/Syd)